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Monsoon vs Sao Luiz

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho Francisco Novelletto Neto, Porto Alegre
Monsoon Logo

Monsoon

2 - 2
FT
Sao Luiz Logo

Sao Luiz

Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Vinicius Garcia
22'
Medina F.
23' Event
Hiago Cena
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho game between Monsoon and Sao Luiz finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Monsoon
20%
Draws
51%
Sao Luiz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sao Luiz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Luiz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Gaucho form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Monsoon Clean Sheet 18%
Sao Luiz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monsoon Sao Luiz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 13 11
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.87 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Gaucho
Monsoon vs Sao Luiz
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monsoon Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabinho Polhao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sao Luiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Escuro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monsoon 32 / 100
Sao Luiz 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monsoon Sao Luiz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Luiz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Monsoon scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Sao Luiz has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Monsoon has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Monsoon VS Sao Luiz
0.83 Goals Scored 1.38
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.88
67% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Monsoon

(Home)
17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
11 Jun
Gramadense
1 : 0
Monsoon
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
30 May
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1
Monsoon
24 May
Monsoon
1 : 2
Gramadense
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Sao Luiz

(Away)
26 Jul
CSA
2 : 1
Sao Luiz
19 Jul
Sao Luiz
0 : 0
CSA
12 Jul
Sao Luiz
3 : 1
Velo Clube
04 Jul
Velo Clube
2 : 1
Sao Luiz
27 Jun
Blumenau
1 : 2
Sao Luiz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Internacional 6 5 0 1 14:5 15
2 EC Juventude 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
3 EC Sao Jose (PA) 6 2 3 1 4:3 9
4 Sao Luiz 6 1 4 1 6:10 7
5 Avenida 6 1 2 3 4:9 5
6 Guarany de Bage 6 1 2 3 4:10 5
Promotion - Gaucho (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
2 SER Caxias do Sul 6 2 1 3 8:5 7
3 Ypiranga FC 6 1 4 1 7:9 7
4 Novo Hamburgo 6 1 3 2 5:5 6
5 Monsoon 6 1 3 2 5:11 6
6 Inter Santa Maria 6 1 2 3 1:4 5
Promotion - Gaucho (Play Offs)