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Mont Dore vs AS Dragon

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2012/2013 game between Mont Dore and AS Dragon finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Dragon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Mont Dore
15%
Draws
64%
AS Dragon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AS Dragon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Mont Dore haven't matched AS Dragon's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans AS Dragon's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Mont Dore Clean Sheet 11%
AS Dragon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mont Dore AS Dragon
Matches Played 19 21
Wins 1 6
Draws 2 3
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.95 1.48
Goals Conceded 3.21 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2013 OFC Champions League
AS Dragon vs Mont Dore
1:1
Apr 5, 2013 OFC Champions League
Mont Dore vs AS Dragon
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mont Dore 27 / 100
AS Dragon 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mont Dore AS Dragon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Dragon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Dragon let in goals in 86% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Away concern: AS Dragon has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Mont Dore scored in 58% of their last 19 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mont Dore VS AS Dragon
1.33 Goals Scored 1.25
2.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mont Dore

(Home)
28 Apr
Mont Dore
2 : 3
Waitakere United
24 Apr
AS Dragon
1 : 1
Mont Dore
17 Apr
Waitakere United
3 : 1
Mont Dore
13 Apr
Auckland City
12 : 2
Mont Dore
05 Apr
Mont Dore
1 : 4
AS Dragon
Page 1 of 4

AS Dragon

(Away)
30 Nov
SU Dives
6 : 1
AS Dragon
17 Nov
AS Dragon
3 : 2
Avranches
25 Feb
Pirae
7 : 3
AS Dragon
18 Feb
AS Dragon
0 : 2
Pirae
18 Nov
Versailles
2 : 0
AS Dragon
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ba 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Amicale 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
3 PNG Hekari 6 1 1 4 5:12 4
4 Solomon Warriors 6 1 1 4 7:15 4
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Waitakere United 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
2 Auckland City 6 3 1 2 19:8 10
3 AS Dragon 6 2 3 1 9:5 9
4 Mont Dore 6 0 1 5 7:25 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)