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Mont Dore vs Ba Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2011/2012 Stade Numa-Daly Magenta, Nouméa
Mont Dore Logo

Mont Dore

0 - 1
FT
Ba Logo

Ba

Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ba in this OFC Champions League 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

5%
Mont Dore
15%
Draws
80%
Ba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ba lately — more wins on the board than Mont Dore.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Ba taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2011/2012 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Mont Dore Clean Sheet 13%
Ba Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mont Dore Ba
Matches Played 19 32
Wins 1 20
Draws 2 7
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 0.95 2.72
Goals Conceded 3.21 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2012 OFC Champions League
Mont Dore vs Ba
0:1
Oct 30, 2011 OFC Champions League
Ba vs Mont Dore
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mont Dore 10 / 100
Ba 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mont Dore Ba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Mont Dore scored in 58% of their last 19 games.

Mont Dore has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ba
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mont Dore

(Home)
28 Apr
Mont Dore
2 : 3
Waitakere United
24 Apr
AS Dragon
1 : 1
Mont Dore
17 Apr
Waitakere United
3 : 1
Mont Dore
13 Apr
Auckland City
12 : 2
Mont Dore
05 Apr
Mont Dore
1 : 4
AS Dragon
Page 1 of 4

Ba

(Away)
29 Aug
Ba
1 : 0
Rewa
09 Aug
Ba
6 : 0
Tailevu Naitasiri
01 Aug
Labasa
1 : 2
Ba
26 Jul
Ba
4 : 1
Lautoka
19 Jul
Ba
1 : 0
Navua
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tefana 6 4 1 1 15:12 13
2 Waitakere United 6 4 0 2 21:6 12
3 Ba 6 3 0 3 7:16 9
4 Mont Dore 6 0 1 5 2:11 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2011/2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 6 4 1 1 17:8 13
2 PNG Hekari 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
3 Amicale 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
4 Koloale 6 1 0 5 7:18 3
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2011/2012 (Play Offs)