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Stadium Background

Montana vs Ludogorets II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Ogosta Stadium, Montana
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montana host Ludogorets II in the Vtora liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Montana at 0.97 goals for, 1.76 against; Ludogorets II at 1.22 for, 1.04 against. Past meetings favor Montana slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.94 - 1.50) back Ludogorets II to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Montana
20%
Draws
50%
Ludogorets II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ludogorets II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ludogorets II come out ahead of Montana on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Ludogorets II taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Montana Clean Sheet 16%
Ludogorets II Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montana Ludogorets II
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 6 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Vtora liga
Montana vs Ludogorets II
0:0
Oct 7, 2024 Vtora liga
Ludogorets II vs Montana
1:2
Feb 24, 2024 Vtora liga
Ludogorets II vs Montana
2:1
Aug 14, 2023 Vtora liga
Montana vs Ludogorets II
3:2
May 21, 2023 Vtora liga
Ludogorets II vs Montana
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montana 10 / 100
Ludogorets II 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montana Ludogorets II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ludogorets II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Ludogorets II conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Montana scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Montana remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montana VS Ludogorets II
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montana

(Home)
04 Oct
Bdin Vidin
0 : 2
Montana
27 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
2 : 0
Montana
21 Sept
Montana
0 : 5
Hebar
13 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
4 : 0
Montana
08 Sept
Montana
1 : 4
Vihren
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Ludogorets II

(Away)
03 Oct
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Dunav Ruse
21 Sept
Spartak Pleven
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
15 Sept
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Fratria
07 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3
Ludogorets II
02 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 11 7 3 1 25:11 24
2 CSKA Sofia II 11 7 2 2 23:9 23
3 Fratria 11 6 4 1 17:8 22
4 Chernomorets 1919 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
5 Beroe 11 5 3 3 16:12 18
6 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
7 Nesebar 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
8 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
9 Yantra Gabrovo 11 5 1 5 12:11 16
10 Hebar 11 4 2 5 24:19 14
11 Etar 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 11 4 1 6 11:22 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 11 2 4 5 7:10 10
17 Dobrudzha 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)