Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024

Montanesa

2 - 1

FC Vilafranca

Our Tip

Match Events

Garcia C.

20'

Bernat Lunar E.

Own Goal

72'

Alonso M.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 game between Montanesa and FC Vilafranca finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montanesa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Montanesa

39%

Draws

30%

FC Vilafranca

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

FC Vilafranca haven't matched Montanesa's recent run of results.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%

Montanesa Clean Sheet 22%

FC Vilafranca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Montanesa	FC Vilafranca
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	7
Draws	6	9
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	1.13	0
Goals Conceded	1.13	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

Montanesa vs FC Vilafranca

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 0 - 3

2:1

Oct 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

FC Vilafranca vs Montanesa

Possession: 49% - 59% Cards: 2 - 0

0:0

Jan 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

FC Vilafranca vs Montanesa

Possession: 46% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Sep 18, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

Montanesa vs FC Vilafranca

Possession: 43% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

4:1

Feb 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

FC Vilafranca vs Montanesa

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 3 - 2

7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montanesa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

FC Vilafranca Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montanesa 32 / 100

FC Vilafranca 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Montanesa FC Vilafranca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Montanesa found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: FC Vilafranca conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

FC Vilafranca's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Montanesa VS -

1.13 Goals Scored 0

1.13 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olot	34	24	7	3	55:20	79
2	L Hospitalet	34	22	3	9	56:28	69
3	Vilassar de Mar	34	17	9	8	41:27	60
4	CF Badalona	34	16	7	11	44:36	55
5	Prat	34	13	12	9	39:30	51
6	UE Tona	34	13	9	12	48:45	48
7	FC Lescala	34	14	6	14	57:59	48
8	Reus FC Reddis	34	12	10	12	31:28	46
9	Montanesa	34	13	7	14	32:39	46
10	FE Grama	34	13	6	15	41:47	45
11	Girona B	34	11	11	12	49:40	44
12	Mollerussa	34	12	7	15	33:46	43
13	San Cristobal CP	34	13	4	17	35:54	43
14	Peralada	34	11	9	14	34:34	42
15	Pobla Mafumet	34	10	8	16	31:39	38
16	FC Vilafranca	34	8	9	17	31:53	33
17	UE Castelldefels	34	7	9	18	30:47	30
18	UE Rapitenca	34	9	3	22	36:51	30