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Montanesa vs UE Castelldefels Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Hurtado W.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 game between Montanesa and UE Castelldefels finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montanesa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Montanesa
15%
Draws
21%
UE Castelldefels
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montanesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Montanesa come out ahead of UE Castelldefels on wins alone.
  • Model gives Montanesa a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Montanesa Clean Sheet 68%
UE Castelldefels Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montanesa UE Castelldefels
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.14 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs UE Castelldefels
1:0
Dec 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Montanesa
0:3
Apr 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs UE Castelldefels
0:1
Dec 11, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Montanesa
3:4
Apr 2, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs UE Castelldefels
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montanesa 95 / 100
UE Castelldefels 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montanesa UE Castelldefels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montanesa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montanesa's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

UE Castelldefels's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Montanesa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montanesa VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montanesa

(Home)
27 Sept
CE Europa B
1 : 0
Montanesa
20 Sept
Montanesa
1 : 0
FE Grama
12 Sept
CF Badalona
0 : 1
Montanesa
06 Sept
Montanesa
3 : 0
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
10 May
Peralada
5 : 0
Montanesa
Page 1 of 6

UE Castelldefels

(Away)
11 May
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FE Grama
05 May
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0
UE Castelldefels
01 May
UE Castelldefels
2 : 1
Peralada
28 Apr
Montanesa
1 : 0
UE Castelldefels
21 Apr
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FC Vilafranca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olot 34 24 7 3 55:20 79
2 L Hospitalet 34 22 3 9 56:28 69
3 Vilassar de Mar 34 17 9 8 41:27 60
4 CF Badalona 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
5 Prat 34 13 12 9 39:30 51
6 UE Tona 34 13 9 12 48:45 48
7 FC Lescala 34 14 6 14 57:59 48
8 Reus FC Reddis 34 12 10 12 31:28 46
9 Montanesa 34 13 7 14 32:39 46
10 FE Grama 34 13 6 15 41:47 45
11 Girona B 34 11 11 12 49:40 44
12 Mollerussa 34 12 7 15 33:46 43
13 San Cristobal CP 34 13 4 17 35:54 43
14 Peralada 34 11 9 14 34:34 42
15 Pobla Mafumet 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 FC Vilafranca 34 8 9 17 31:53 33
17 UE Castelldefels 34 7 9 18 30:47 30
18 UE Rapitenca 34 9 3 22 36:51 30
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 (Play Offs)