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Montaneses vs Deportiva Venados - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

The Primera Premier game between Montaneses and Deportiva Venados finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Montaneses
20%
Draws
36%
Deportiva Venados
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Montaneses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Deportiva Venados carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Montaneses Clean Sheet 16%
Deportiva Venados Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montaneses Deportiva Venados
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 17
Draws 3 8
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.54 2.3
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Primera Premier
Montaneses vs Deportiva Venados
1:1
Mar 1, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Montaneses vs Deportiva Venados
0:0
Oct 11, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Deportiva Venados vs Montaneses
3:0
Mar 22, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Deportiva Venados vs Montaneses
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Montaneses vs Deportiva Venados
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montaneses 31 / 100
Deportiva Venados 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montaneses Deportiva Venados

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montaneses scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Deportiva Venados has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Montaneses went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montaneses VS Deportiva Venados
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Montaneses

(Home)
03 Oct
Pioneros
2 : 1
Montaneses
27 Sept
Montaneses
3 : 2
Inter Playa Del Carmen
20 Sept
Celaya
2 : 1
Montaneses
13 Sept
Montaneses
1 : 3
Racing de Veracruz
06 Sept
Jaguares De Chiapas
2 : 3
Montaneses
Page 1 of 6

Deportiva Venados

(Away)
03 Oct
Inter Playa Del Carmen
3 : 1
Deportiva Venados
26 Sept
Deportiva Venados
2 : 3
Celaya
19 Sept
Racing de Veracruz
3 : 3
Deportiva Venados
12 Sept
Deportiva Venados
2 : 0
Jaguares De Chiapas
30 Aug
Montaneses
1 : 1
Deportiva Venados
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 6 6 0 0 14:4 19
2 Reboceros de La Piedad 6 5 0 1 12:7 14
3 Tigres de Alica 7 3 2 2 9:7 11
4 Zacatepec 6 3 1 2 8:7 11
5 Los Cabos United 7 3 0 4 7:9 9
6 Cordobes FC 6 2 1 3 5:7 7
7 Lobos ULMX 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
8 Tritones Vallarta 6 0 2 4 3:7 2
9 Purepechas 5 0 1 4 1:7 1
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pioneros 6 5 0 1 18:7 16
2 Racing de Veracruz 6 4 2 0 18:7 16
3 Celaya 7 4 1 2 11:7 13
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 6 3 1 2 6:5 11
5 Deportiva Venados 6 1 2 3 10:13 6
6 Montaneses 6 2 1 3 9:12 6
7 Chapulineros 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
8 Inter Playa Del Carmen 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
9 Tapachula 5 1 0 4 5:14 3
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)