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Montaneses vs Lobos ULMX - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montaneses host Lobos ULMX in the Primera Premier. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Montaneses at 1.52 goals for, 1.32 against; Lobos ULMX at 1.28 for, 1.24 against. Head-to-head, Montaneses have won 2 to Lobos ULMX's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2024, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.31) point toward Montaneses. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Montaneses
15%
Draws
46%
Lobos ULMX
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lobos ULMX

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montaneses lately — more wins on the board than Lobos ULMX.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Montaneses Clean Sheet 18%
Lobos ULMX Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montaneses Lobos ULMX
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Montaneses vs Lobos ULMX
2:1
Oct 5, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Lobos ULMX vs Montaneses
2:1
Apr 4, 2022 Liga Premier Serie A
Montaneses vs Lobos ULMX
1:0
Nov 20, 2021 Liga Premier Serie A
Lobos ULMX vs Montaneses
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montaneses 31 / 100
Lobos ULMX 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montaneses Lobos ULMX

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montaneses Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Montaneses scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Lobos ULMX's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Montaneses remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montaneses VS Lobos ULMX
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Montaneses

(Home)
17 Oct
Chapulineros
2 : 1
Montaneses
11 Oct
Montaneses
2 : 1
Tapachula
03 Oct
Pioneros
2 : 1
Montaneses
27 Sept
Montaneses
3 : 2
Inter Playa Del Carmen
20 Sept
Celaya
2 : 1
Montaneses
Page 1 of 7

Lobos ULMX

(Away)
18 Oct
Lobos ULMX
2 : 0
Cordobes FC
11 Oct
Purepechas
2 : 0
Lobos ULMX
04 Oct
Lobos ULMX
2 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
27 Sept
Irapuato
3 : 0
Lobos ULMX
19 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1
Lobos ULMX
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 7 7 0 0 16:4 22
2 Tigres de Alica 8 4 2 2 13:7 14
3 Reboceros de La Piedad 7 5 0 2 12:11 14
4 Zacatepec 7 3 1 3 8:9 11
5 Los Cabos United 7 3 0 4 7:9 9
6 Lobos ULMX 7 2 1 4 7:11 7
7 Cordobes FC 7 2 1 4 5:9 7
8 Purepechas 6 1 1 4 3:7 4
9 Tritones Vallarta 6 0 2 4 3:7 2
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 7 5 2 0 19:7 19
2 Pioneros 7 5 1 1 18:7 17
3 Celaya 7 4 1 2 11:7 13
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 7 3 2 2 6:5 12
5 Montaneses 8 3 1 4 12:15 9
6 Chapulineros 7 2 2 3 9:14 8
7 Deportiva Venados 6 1 2 3 10:13 6
8 Inter Playa Del Carmen 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
9 Tapachula 6 1 0 5 6:16 3
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)