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Monte Carlo vs Sporting Macau

Macao Macao

Elite League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Junior P.
78' Event
Fong T. H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Elite League 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Monte Carlo
20%
Draws
29%
Sporting Macau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monte Carlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Monte Carlo lately — more wins on the board than Sporting Macau.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Monte Carlo taking it.
  • Regular Elite League 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Monte Carlo Clean Sheet 17%
Sporting Macau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monte Carlo Sporting Macau
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 15 5
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 25
Goals Scored 2.3 1
Goals Conceded 1.2 4.12
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2024 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Sporting Macau
2:0
May 12, 2024 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs Monte Carlo
1:1
Mar 23, 2024 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Sporting Macau
1:1
Jul 9, 2023 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs Monte Carlo
0:2
Apr 9, 2023 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Sporting Macau
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monte Carlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Fong T. H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sporting Macau Compare

Top Goalscorer Junior P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monte Carlo 84 / 100
Sporting Macau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monte Carlo Sporting Macau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monte Carlo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monte Carlo's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sporting Macau has conceded goals in 97% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Monte Carlo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monte Carlo VS Sporting Macau
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 5.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Monte Carlo

(Home)
03 Aug
University of Macau
2 : 1
Monte Carlo
19 Jul
Monte Carlo
1 : 1
Gala
14 Jul
Monte Carlo
2 : 0
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Monte Carlo
8 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
22 Jun
Monte Carlo
1 : 2
University of Macau
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Macau

(Away)
03 Aug
Sporting Macau
1 : 3
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Gala
3 : 3
Sporting Macau
12 Jul
Lun Lok
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Sporting Macau
0 : 7
Chiba
28 Jun
Hang Sai
9 : 0
Sporting Macau
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 9 8 1 0 49:2 25
2 Benfica 9 8 0 1 37:8 24
3 Cheng Fung 9 6 2 1 18:6 20
4 Hang Sai 9 4 1 4 16:22 13
5 Lun Lok 9 4 1 4 20:28 13
6 University of Macau 9 4 1 4 14:18 13
7 Monte Carlo 9 3 1 5 10:15 10
8 Gala 9 2 1 6 17:17 7
9 Tak Chun Ka I 9 1 0 8 10:44 3
10 Sporting Macau 9 0 2 7 8:39 2
Promotion - Elite League 2024 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Elite League 2024 (Relegation Group)