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Monte Carlo vs University of Macau

Macao Macao

Elite League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Tian Yu Xuan
60' Event
Choi W. H.
69' Event
Tian Yu Xuan

AI Match Summary

University of Macau in this Elite League 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored University of Macau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Monte Carlo
6%
Draws
4%
University of Macau
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Monte Carlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Monte Carlo have won more games recently than University of Macau.
  • Win probability leans Monte Carlo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Elite League 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors University of Macau here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Monte Carlo Clean Sheet 20%
University of Macau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monte Carlo University of Macau
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 15 14
Draws 4 2
Losses 11 24
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 3.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2024 Elite League
University of Macau vs Monte Carlo
2:1
Jun 22, 2024 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs University of Macau
1:2
Feb 23, 2024 Elite League
University of Macau vs Monte Carlo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monte Carlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Choi W. H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

University of Macau Compare

Top Goalscorer Tian Yu Xuan
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monte Carlo 85 / 100
University of Macau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monte Carlo University of Macau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monte Carlo found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

University of Macau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 40 matches.

University of Macau's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS University of Macau
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 3.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%