Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monte Roraima vs Amazonas

Brazil Brazil

Copa Norte Estadio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira, Marabá
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Bernardo Paias
64' Event
Teixeira C.
66' Event
Leozinho

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Monte Roraima
15%
Draws
51%
Amazonas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Amazonas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Amazonas have won more games recently than Monte Roraima.
  • Monte Roraima are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Amazonas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Monte Roraima Clean Sheet 20%
Amazonas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monte Roraima Amazonas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Copa Norte
Monte Roraima vs Amazonas
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monte Roraima Compare

Top Goalscorer Teixeira C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leozinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Amazonas Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernardo Paias
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Cipriano
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monte Roraima 36 / 100
Amazonas 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monte Roraima Amazonas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Monte Roraima scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Amazonas has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Amazonas has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Monte Roraima VS Amazonas
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Monte Roraima

(Home)
28 Jun
Guapore
2 : 0
Monte Roraima
20 Jun
Monte Roraima
3 : 2
Guapore
14 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1
Monte Roraima
31 May
Monte Roraima
0 : 1
Manauara
24 May
Monte Roraima
2 : 2
Sao Raimundo RR
Page 1 of 6

Amazonas

(Away)
09 Aug
Maringa FC
0 : 3
Amazonas
26 Jul
Amazonas
2 : 1
Paysandu PA
12 Jul
Internacional de Limeira
1 : 0
Amazonas
07 Jul
Amazonas
0 : 2
Itabaiana
30 Jun
Volta Redonda
3 : 0
Amazonas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 5 4 1 0 14:1 13
2 Paysandu PA 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
3 Guapore 5 2 1 2 4:6 7
4 Trem 5 2 0 3 11:11 6
5 Independencia Futebol Clube 5 1 2 2 4:8 5
6 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 5 1 0 4 10:15 3
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguia De Maraba 5 4 1 0 12:6 13
2 Porto Velho 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
3 Amazonas 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
4 Remo 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
5 Galvez 5 1 0 4 9:17 3
6 Monte Roraima 5 0 2 3 9:15 2
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)