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Monte Roraima vs Bare

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense 2025
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Match Events

37' Event
Gilberto
Own Goal
82' Event
Kayo Vieira
88' Event
Anderson Banana

AI Match Summary

The Roraimense 2025 game between Monte Roraima and Bare finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Monte Roraima
15%
Draws
59%
Bare
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Monte Roraima haven't matched Bare's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Bare taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Monte Roraima have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Monte Roraima Clean Sheet 17%
Bare Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monte Roraima Bare
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 10 14
Draws 10 3
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.47 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Roraimense
Monte Roraima vs Bare
2:1
Mar 29, 2025 Roraimense
Bare vs Monte Roraima
0:1
Mar 1, 2025 Roraimense
Monte Roraima vs Bare
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monte Roraima Compare

Top Goalscorer Kayo Vieira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Bare Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson Banana
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monte Roraima 20 / 100
Bare 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monte Roraima Bare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Monte Roraima scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Bare conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Monte Roraima remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Monte Roraima VS Bare
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Monte Roraima

(Home)
28 Jun
Guapore
2 : 0
Monte Roraima
20 Jun
Monte Roraima
3 : 2
Guapore
14 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1
Monte Roraima
31 May
Monte Roraima
0 : 1
Manauara
24 May
Monte Roraima
2 : 2
Sao Raimundo RR
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Bare

(Away)
01 Apr
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
2 : 0
Bare
21 Mar
Sao Raimundo RR
0 : 1
Bare
17 Mar
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
1 : 0
Bare
14 Mar
Bare
4 : 0
Progresso
11 Mar
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
1 : 4
Bare
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 7 5 1 1 23:5 16
2 Bare 7 5 1 1 19:3 16
3 Monte Roraima 7 4 2 1 12:4 14
4 Sao Raimundo RR 7 4 1 2 15:7 13
5 Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 7 3 1 3 9:11 10
6 Nautico FC 7 1 1 5 9:22 4
7 Atl. Roraima 7 0 3 4 3:20 3
8 Progresso 7 0 2 5 1:19 2
Promotion - Roraimense 2025 (Play Offs)