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Montebelluna vs Clodiense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Sinani I.
20'
Fabbian G.
63' Event
Devcic T.

AI Match Summary

Clodiense in this Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Clodiense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Montebelluna
15%
Draws
59%
Clodiense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Clodiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Montebelluna haven't matched Clodiense's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Clodiense here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Montebelluna Clean Sheet 19%
Clodiense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montebelluna Clodiense
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 19
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.07 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Clodiense vs Montebelluna
2:0
Dec 20, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Clodiense
1:3
Feb 19, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Clodiense
1:3
Oct 16, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Clodiense vs Montebelluna
3:1
Feb 13, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Clodiense vs Montebelluna
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montebelluna Compare

Top Goalscorer Devcic T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Clodiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Sinani I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aliu G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montebelluna 32 / 100
Clodiense 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montebelluna Clodiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Clodiense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Montebelluna found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Clodiense conceded in 59% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Montebelluna stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Clodiense
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montebelluna

(Home)
05 May
Clodiense
2 : 0
Montebelluna
28 Apr
Montebelluna
3 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
21 Apr
Breno
3 : 2
Montebelluna
14 Apr
Montebelluna
0 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
07 Apr
Treviso
2 : 0
Montebelluna
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Clodiense

(Away)
07 Oct
Clodiense
2 : 1
Campodarsego
04 Oct
Clodiense
0 : 1
Calcio San Dona
27 Sept
Luparense FC
3 : 0
Clodiense
20 Sept
Brian Lignano
3 : 5
Clodiense
16 Sept
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clodiense 34 25 5 4 49:17 80
2 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 19 9 6 56:25 66
3 Treviso 34 19 3 12 51:37 60
4 Bassano Virtus 34 15 9 10 35:30 54
5 Campodarsego 34 12 15 7 42:26 51
6 Este 34 13 12 9 44:33 51
7 Montecchio Maggiore 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
8 Adriese 34 13 11 10 54:41 50
9 Portogruaro 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
10 Mestre 34 13 9 12 34:37 48
11 Montebelluna 34 11 12 11 35:41 45
12 Chions 34 10 11 13 40:50 41
13 Luparense FC 34 10 9 15 38:41 39
14 Breno 34 8 13 13 39:49 37
15 Cjarlins Muzane 34 7 14 13 30:37 35
16 Castegnato 34 7 12 15 39:58 33
17 Virtus Bolzano 34 4 12 18 25:52 24
18 Mori 34 3 6 25 22:76 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Out)