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Montebelluna vs Spinea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Ferrazzo G.
54' Event
Pasha P.
90' Event
Dell'Andrea A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 game between Montebelluna and Spinea finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spinea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Montebelluna
20%
Draws
40%
Spinea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Spinea haven't matched Montebelluna's recent run of results.
  • Montebelluna are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Montebelluna Clean Sheet 68%
Spinea Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montebelluna Spinea
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 19 6
Draws 12 5
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.29 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Spinea
0:3
Dec 8, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Spinea vs Montebelluna
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montebelluna Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Spinea Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrazzo G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pasha P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montebelluna 50 / 100
Spinea 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montebelluna Spinea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montebelluna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montebelluna scored in 74% of their last 42 games.

Spinea has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Spinea registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montebelluna VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montebelluna

(Home)
05 May
Clodiense
2 : 0
Montebelluna
28 Apr
Montebelluna
3 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
21 Apr
Breno
3 : 2
Montebelluna
14 Apr
Montebelluna
0 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
07 Apr
Treviso
2 : 0
Montebelluna
Page 1 of 9

Spinea

(Away)
15 May
Cartigliano
2 : 2
Spinea
08 May
Spinea
0 : 5
Dolomiti Bellunesi
01 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 3
Spinea
27 Apr
Spinea
1 : 3
Campodarsego
24 Apr
Montebelluna
0 : 3
Spinea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arzignano 34 21 10 3 74:32 73
2 Clodiense 34 20 12 2 53:22 72
3 Adriese 34 19 9 6 61:36 66
4 Luparense FC 34 16 10 8 60:35 58
5 Campodarsego 34 15 11 8 48:37 56
6 Caldiero Terme 34 15 6 13 58:50 51
7 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 14 8 12 51:50 50
8 Montebelluna 34 14 7 13 57:52 49
9 Mestre 34 13 7 14 36:45 46
10 Cjarlins Muzane 34 11 12 11 51:43 45
11 Cartigliano 34 11 12 11 44:40 45
12 Este 34 10 13 11 31:42 43
13 Levico Terme 34 11 9 14 31:40 42
14 Ambrosiana 34 11 7 16 45:52 40
15 Delta Porto Tolle 34 10 6 18 43:51 36
16 Spinea 34 6 7 21 27:58 25
17 Cattolica Calcio 34 6 5 23 20:61 23
18 San Martino Speme 34 5 5 24 29:73 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 (Play Out)