Sport Picks
Montebelluna vs Virtus Bolzano
Italy
Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus Bolzano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Montebelluna have won more games recently than Virtus Bolzano.
- 34% — that's where the model lands on Montebelluna taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Montebelluna Clean Sheet 68%
Virtus Bolzano Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montebelluna | Virtus Bolzano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 0.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.85 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Virtus Bolzano
0:0
Sep 24, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Virtus Bolzano vs Montebelluna
1:1
Apr 2, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Virtus Bolzano
0:4
Nov 20, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Virtus Bolzano vs Montebelluna
2:1
Jun 19, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Virtus Bolzano
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montebelluna 95 / 100
Virtus Bolzano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montebelluna Virtus Bolzano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Montebelluna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Virtus Bolzano has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Montebelluna scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Virtus Bolzano lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Montebelluna VS Virtus Bolzano
0.83 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
67% Over 1.5 100%
33% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Montebelluna
(Home) 05 May
Clodiense
2 : 0 Montebelluna
28 Apr
Montebelluna
3 : 2 Cjarlins Muzane
21 Apr
Breno
3 : 2 Montebelluna
14 Apr
Montebelluna
0 : 0 Montecchio Maggiore
07 Apr
Treviso
2 : 0 Montebelluna
Page 1 of 6
28 Apr
Montebelluna
3 : 2 Cjarlins Muzane
14 Apr
Montebelluna
0 : 0 Montecchio Maggiore
28 Mar
Montebelluna
0 : 0 Castegnato
10 Mar
Montebelluna
2 : 2 Luparense FC
25 Feb
Montebelluna
1 : 4 Dolomiti Bellunesi
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Virtus Bolzano
(Away) 27 Sept
Altavilla
7 : 0 Virtus Bolzano
20 Sept
Virtus Bolzano
2 : 1 Calcio San Dona
16 Sept
Luparense FC
4 : 0 Virtus Bolzano
13 Sept
Virtus Bolzano
2 : 1 Brian Lignano
06 Sept
Clodiense
2 : 0 Virtus Bolzano
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27 Sept
Altavilla
7 : 0 Virtus Bolzano
16 Sept
Luparense FC
4 : 0 Virtus Bolzano
06 Sept
Clodiense
2 : 0 Virtus Bolzano
25 Jul
Modena
5 : 0 Virtus Bolzano
13 Aug
Sudtirol
10 : 0 Virtus Bolzano
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clodiense | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 49:17 | 80 |
| 2 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 56:25 | 66 |
| 3 | Treviso | 34 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 51:37 | 60 |
| 4 | Bassano Virtus | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 35:30 | 54 |
| 5 | Campodarsego | 34 | 12 | 15 | 7 | 42:26 | 51 |
| 6 | Este | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 44:33 | 51 |
| 7 | Montecchio Maggiore | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48:40 | 51 |
| 8 | Adriese | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 54:41 | 50 |
| 9 | Portogruaro | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 52:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Mestre | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 34:37 | 48 |
| 11 | Montebelluna | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 35:41 | 45 |
| 12 | Chions | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 40:50 | 41 |
| 13 | Luparense FC | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:41 | 39 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 39:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Cjarlins Muzane | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 30:37 | 35 |
| 16 | Castegnato | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39:58 | 33 |
| 17 | Virtus Bolzano | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 25:52 | 24 |
| 18 | Mori | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 22:76 | 15 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Out)
