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Montecchio Gallo vs Angelana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F game between Montecchio Gallo and Angelana finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montecchio Gallo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Montecchio Gallo
30%
Draws
12%
Angelana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Montecchio Gallo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Montecchio Gallo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Montecchio Gallo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Montecchio Gallo Clean Sheet 68%
Angelana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montecchio Gallo Angelana
Matches Played 8 8
Wins 3 1
Draws 2 1
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Montecchio Gallo vs Angelana
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montecchio Gallo 68 / 100
Angelana 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montecchio Gallo Angelana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montecchio Gallo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Angelana has conceded goals in 100% of their last 8 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Montecchio Gallo scored in 75% of their last 8 games.

Montecchio Gallo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montecchio Gallo VS Angelana
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montecchio Gallo

(Home)
18 Oct
Montecchio Gallo
3 : 1
Angelana
11 Oct
Lanciano FC
3 : 1
Montecchio Gallo
04 Oct
Montecchio Gallo
0 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
27 Sept
Montecchio Gallo
1 : 1
Foligno
20 Sept
Recanatese
0 : 0
Montecchio Gallo
Page 1 of 2

Angelana

(Away)
18 Oct
Montecchio Gallo
3 : 1
Angelana
11 Oct
Angelana
0 : 1
Pietralunga
04 Oct
Foligno
1 : 0
Angelana
27 Sept
Angelana
1 : 1
Ancona
20 Sept
Santegidiese
1 : 0
Angelana
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 8 6 2 0 17:5 20
2 Teramo 8 6 1 1 20:11 19
3 Vigor Senigallia 8 5 1 2 17:12 16
4 Foligno 8 5 1 2 9:7 16
5 Notaresco Calcio 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
6 Ancona 8 4 2 2 12:8 14
7 Atletico Ascoli 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
8 Fossombrone 8 4 1 3 10:13 13
9 Montecchio Gallo 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
10 Giulianova 8 3 1 4 11:11 10
11 Lanciano FC 8 3 1 4 14:15 10
12 Termoli 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
13 Santegidiese 8 2 2 4 7:11 8
14 Pietralunga 8 2 2 4 5:9 8
15 Maceratese 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
16 Recanatese 8 1 3 4 11:14 6
17 Angelana 8 1 1 6 5:12 4
18 Sporting Trestina 8 1 1 6 4:13 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)