Sport Picks
Montecchio Maggiore vs Mestre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 
Match Events
69'
69'
Bangal F.
AI Match Summary
Mestre in this Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mestre.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
35%
56%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mestre
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mestre have won more games recently than Montecchio Maggiore.
- 56% — that's where the model lands on Mestre taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Mestre have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Montecchio Maggiore Clean Sheet 20%
Mestre Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montecchio Maggiore | Mestre |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 20 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Mestre
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Montecchio Maggiore
1:0
Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Mestre
0:0
Sep 24, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Montecchio Maggiore
2:0
Feb 19, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Montecchio Maggiore
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montecchio Maggiore Compare
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Mestre Compare
Top Goalscorer Bangal F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montecchio Maggiore 20 / 100
Mestre 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montecchio Maggiore Mestre
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mestre Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Mestre conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Montecchio Maggiore scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Montecchio Maggiore remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Mestre
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Montecchio Maggiore
(Home) 04 May
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 3 Brusaporto
27 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 1 Montecchio Maggiore
17 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 3 Calvi Noale
12 Apr
Treviso
1 : 0 Montecchio Maggiore
06 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 1 Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 3 Brusaporto
17 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 3 Calvi Noale
06 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 1 Brian Lignano
23 Mar
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 3 Dolomiti Bellunesi
09 Mar
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 1 Caravaggio
Page 1 of 3
Mestre
(Away) 07 Oct
Mestre
0 : 2 Schio
04 Oct
Mestre
1 : 1 Campodarsego
27 Sept
FC Obermais
2 : 2 Mestre
20 Sept
Mestre
3 : 2 Altavilla
16 Sept
Bassano Virtus
0 : 0 Mestre
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
FC Obermais
2 : 2 Mestre
16 Sept
Bassano Virtus
0 : 0 Mestre
06 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 2 Mestre
17 May
Legnago Salus
2 : 0 Mestre
26 Apr
Altavilla
1 : 0 Mestre
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 65:39 | 78 |
| 2 | Treviso | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 59:32 | 74 |
| 3 | Villa Valle | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 62:44 | 67 |
| 4 | Adriese | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 55:31 | 66 |
| 5 | Mestre | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 40:34 | 64 |
| 6 | Campodarsego | 38 | 15 | 17 | 6 | 52:36 | 62 |
| 7 | Brusaporto | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 46:37 | 60 |
| 8 | Luparense FC | 38 | 13 | 17 | 8 | 48:36 | 56 |
| 9 | Real Calepina | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 44:44 | 55 |
| 10 | Cjarlins Muzane | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 50:49 | 55 |
| 11 | Este | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:50 | 54 |
| 12 | Brian Lignano | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 45:49 | 48 |
| 13 | Calvi Noale | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 44:44 | 47 |
| 14 | Bassano Virtus | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 43:36 | 47 |
| 15 | Portogruaro | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 16 | Caravaggio | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 42:54 | 41 |
| 17 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 42:55 | 40 |
| 18 | Chions | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 35:59 | 30 |
| 19 | Montecchio Maggiore | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 32:55 | 27 |
| 20 | Lavis | 38 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 25:91 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)
