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Montedio Yamagata vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League ND Soft Stadium Yamagata, Tendo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montedio Yamagata host Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo in the J2 League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Montedio Yamagata have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 4, 2025, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.25) point toward Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Montedio Yamagata
15%
Draws
49%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo have won more games recently than Montedio Yamagata.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Montedio Yamagata Clean Sheet 19%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montedio Yamagata Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 0 3
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 J2 League
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Montedio Yamagata
1:2
May 3, 2025 J2 League
Montedio Yamagata vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
0:1
Jul 10, 2024 Emperors Cup
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Montedio Yamagata
6:3
Aug 14, 2016 J2 League
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Montedio Yamagata
3:1
Apr 17, 2016 J2 League
Montedio Yamagata vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montedio Yamagata 31 / 100
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montedio Yamagata Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montedio Yamagata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Montedio Yamagata scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montedio Yamagata VS Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montedio Yamagata

(Home)
11 Oct
Montedio Yamagata
0 : 1
Vegalta Sendai
03 Oct
Oita Trinita
2 : 1
Montedio Yamagata
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2
Yokohama F. Marinos
26 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
2 : 0
Sagan Tosu
19 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
0 : 2
Toyama
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Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

(Away)
10 Oct
Iwata
1 : 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
04 Oct
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
2 : 1
Iwaki
29 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 2
Okayama
26 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
19 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 1
Oita Trinita
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
2 Omiya Ardija 10 5 5 0 20:9 20
3 Albirex Niigata 10 6 2 2 14:14 20
4 Toyama 10 5 3 2 19:10 18
5 Yokohama FC 10 5 2 3 19:13 17
6 Shonan Bellmare 10 4 5 1 11:9 17
7 Oita Trinita 10 3 5 2 11:8 14
8 Fujieda MYFC 10 3 4 3 13:11 13
9 Blaublitz 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
10 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 10 3 4 3 14:14 13
11 Iwata 10 4 1 5 12:13 13
12 Tokushima 10 4 1 5 10:12 13
13 Montedio Yamagata 10 4 0 6 11:9 12
14 Iwaki 10 4 0 6 13:17 12
15 Sagan Tosu 10 3 2 5 9:12 11
16 Tochigi City 10 3 1 6 16:17 10
17 Imabari 10 3 1 6 11:19 10
18 Kofu 10 3 1 6 9:18 10
19 Vanraure 10 3 1 6 6:17 10
20 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 10 2 2 6 12:19 8
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)