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Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League ND Soft Stadium Yamagata, Tendo
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montedio Yamagata host Tegevajaro Miyazaki in the J2 League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Montedio Yamagata have averaged 1.17 scored and 1.33 conceded recently, against Tegevajaro Miyazaki's 1.4 scored and 0.97 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.13 - 1.38) back Tegevajaro Miyazaki to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Montedio Yamagata
35%
Draws
39%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Montedio Yamagata haven't matched Tegevajaro Miyazaki's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Montedio Yamagata taking it.
  • Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Montedio Yamagata Clean Sheet 17%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montedio Yamagata Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 1 6
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montedio Yamagata 41 / 100
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montedio Yamagata Tegevajaro Miyazaki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montedio Yamagata found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Tegevajaro Miyazaki conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Montedio Yamagata stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montedio Yamagata VS Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montedio Yamagata

(Home)
17 Oct
Fujieda MYFC
0 : 0
Montedio Yamagata
11 Oct
Montedio Yamagata
0 : 1
Vegalta Sendai
03 Oct
Oita Trinita
2 : 1
Montedio Yamagata
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2
Yokohama F. Marinos
26 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
2 : 0
Sagan Tosu
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Tegevajaro Miyazaki

(Away)
17 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1
Iwata
11 Oct
Toyama
1 : 1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
07 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
04 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1
Omiya Ardija
26 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 11 7 3 1 18:8 24
2 Omiya Ardija 11 5 5 1 21:11 20
3 Albirex Niigata 11 6 2 3 15:19 20
4 Toyama 11 5 4 2 20:11 19
5 Yokohama FC 11 5 3 3 20:14 18
6 Shonan Bellmare 11 4 6 1 12:10 18
7 Oita Trinita 11 4 5 2 16:9 17
8 Fujieda MYFC 11 3 5 3 13:11 14
9 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 11 3 5 3 15:15 14
10 Iwata 11 4 2 5 13:14 14
11 Sagan Tosu 11 4 2 5 11:13 14
12 Tokushima 11 4 2 5 10:12 14
13 Montedio Yamagata 11 4 1 6 11:9 13
14 Blaublitz 11 3 4 4 12:12 13
15 Iwaki 10 4 0 6 13:17 12
16 Tochigi City 11 3 2 6 17:18 11
17 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 11 3 2 6 13:19 11
18 Imabari 11 3 2 6 14:22 11
19 Vanraure 11 3 2 6 9:20 11
20 Kofu 10 3 1 6 9:18 10
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)