Sport Picks
Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J2 League ND Soft Stadium Yamagata, Tendo 
Match Events
11'
11'
Sugata M.
26'
26'
Asakura R.
33'
33'
Lee Dong-Hee
AI Match Summary
The J2 League game between Montedio Yamagata and Vegalta Sendai finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vegalta Sendai.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vegalta Sendai
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Vegalta Sendai come out ahead of Montedio Yamagata on wins alone.
- Vegalta Sendai are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Vegalta Sendai have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Montedio Yamagata Clean Sheet 10%
Vegalta Sendai Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montedio Yamagata | Vegalta Sendai |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 20 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 19 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 J2/J3 League
Vegalta Sendai vs Montedio Yamagata
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 J2/J3 League
Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 J2 League
Vegalta Sendai vs Montedio Yamagata
3:1
Jun 15, 2025 J2 League
Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai
3:4
Jun 22, 2024 J2 League
Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montedio Yamagata Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Vegalta Sendai Compare
Top Goalscorer Asakura R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montedio Yamagata 18 / 100
Vegalta Sendai 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montedio Yamagata Vegalta Sendai
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vegalta Sendai Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Montedio Yamagata's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Vegalta Sendai let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Montedio Yamagata stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Montedio Yamagata VS Vegalta Sendai
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Montedio Yamagata
(Home) 03 Oct
Oita Trinita
2 : 1 Montedio Yamagata
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
26 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
2 : 0 Sagan Tosu
19 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
0 : 2 Toyama
13 Sept
Albirex Niigata
1 : 0 Montedio Yamagata
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
26 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
2 : 0 Sagan Tosu
19 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
0 : 2 Toyama
05 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Kofu
26 Aug
Montedio Yamagata
3 : 5 Fujieda MYFC
Page 1 of 4
Vegalta Sendai
(Away) 04 Oct
Vegalta Sendai
2 : 1 Iwata
26 Sept
Iwaki
0 : 2 Vegalta Sendai
20 Sept
Tochigi City
1 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
13 Sept
Vegalta Sendai
1 : 1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
09 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Iwaki
0 : 2 Vegalta Sendai
20 Sept
Tochigi City
1 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
09 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
05 Sept
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
22 Aug
Vanraure
0 : 2 Vegalta Sendai
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omiya Ardija | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20:9 | 20 |
| 2 | Vegalta Sendai | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13:13 | 19 |
| 4 | Toyama | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 8 | Fujieda MYFC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Blaublitz | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Iwata | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | 13 |
| 11 | Tokushima | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | 13 |
| 12 | Montedio Yamagata | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 13 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Sagan Tosu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 15 | Tochigi City | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:17 | 10 |
| 16 | Imabari | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | 10 |
| 17 | Kofu | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 10 |
| 18 | Vanraure | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:17 | 10 |
| 19 | Iwaki | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 20 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 8 |
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)
