Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League ND Soft Stadium Yamagata

Vegalta Sendai

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Montedio Yamagata play Vegalta Sendai in the J2/J3 League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Montedio Yamagata averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Vegalta Sendai averaged 2 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Montedio Yamagata won 0, Vegalta Sendai won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Montedio Yamagata and 1.88 for Vegalta Sendai. This points to a Vegalta Sendai double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Montedio Yamagata

22%

Draws

60%

Vegalta Sendai

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Vegalta Sendai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Vegalta Sendai has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Montedio Yamagata.
Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Vegalta Sendai.
League standings and seasonal metrics in J2/J3 League provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Montedio Yamagata Clean Sheet 10%

Vegalta Sendai Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Montedio Yamagata	Vegalta Sendai
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	24
Draws	3	1
Losses	13	5
Goals Scored	1.25	2
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 J2/J3 League

Vegalta Sendai vs Montedio Yamagata

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Mar 22, 2026 J2/J3 League

Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai

Possession: 49% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Sep 20, 2025 J2 League

Vegalta Sendai vs Montedio Yamagata

Possession: 48% - 58% Cards: 0 - 1

3:1

Jun 15, 2025 J2 League

Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai

Possession: 42% - 52% Cards: 1 - 1

3:4

Jun 22, 2024 J2 League

Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai

Possession: 51% - 40% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montedio Yamagata Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Vegalta Sendai Compare

Top Goalscorer Inoue S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montedio Yamagata 18 / 100

Vegalta Sendai 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Montedio Yamagata Vegalta Sendai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEG Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montedio Yamagata scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Vegalta Sendai let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Montedio Yamagata went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Vegalta Sendai lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montedio Yamagata VS Vegalta Sendai

1.25 Goals Scored 2

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15