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Montegiorgio vs Jesina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2019/2020
Sun, Mar 8, 2020
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montegiorgio host Jesina in the Serie D - Group F 2019/2020. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Montegiorgio at 0.84 goals for, 0.97 against; Jesina at 1.09 for, 1.86 against. Head-to-head, Montegiorgio have won 1 to Jesina's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.92 xG vs 1.00) point toward Montegiorgio. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Montegiorgio
15%
Draws
21%
Jesina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montegiorgio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Montegiorgio come out ahead of Jesina on wins alone.
  • 21% — that's where the model lands on Jesina taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Montegiorgio Clean Sheet 20%
Jesina Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montegiorgio Jesina
Matches Played 37 22
Wins 11 3
Draws 10 2
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.84 1.09
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Montegiorgio vs Jesina
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Jesina vs Montegiorgio
1:2
Feb 24, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Jesina vs Montegiorgio
0:0
Nov 4, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Montegiorgio vs Jesina
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montegiorgio 28 / 100
Jesina 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montegiorgio Jesina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jesina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jesina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 95% of 22 matches.

Away concern: Jesina has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Montegiorgio found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (37 games).

Historical meetings average 0.75 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Montegiorgio VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montegiorgio

(Home)
14 May
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1
Montegiorgio
07 May
Montegiorgio
2 : 1
Vigor Senigallia
30 Apr
Vastogirardi
2 : 0
Montegiorgio
23 Apr
Montegiorgio
0 : 1
Matese
16 Apr
Fano
3 : 1
Montegiorgio
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Jesina

(Away)
01 Mar
Jesina
0 : 1
Porto Sant'Elpidio
23 Feb
Matelica
3 : 0
Jesina
16 Feb
Jesina
1 : 1
Pineto
09 Feb
Vastese
2 : 1
Jesina
02 Feb
Jesina
0 : 1
Avezzano
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