Sport Picks
Montegiorgio vs Porto Sant'Elpidio Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 
Match Events
36'
36'
Pampano M.
AI Match Summary
Montegiorgio in this Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montegiorgio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Porto Sant'Elpidio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Montegiorgio lately — more wins on the board than Porto Sant'Elpidio.
- Win probability leans Porto Sant'Elpidio's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Montegiorgio here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Montegiorgio Clean Sheet 20%
Porto Sant'Elpidio Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montegiorgio | Porto Sant'Elpidio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 4 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 16 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 0.76 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Montegiorgio vs Porto Sant'Elpidio
1:0
Apr 28, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Porto Sant'Elpidio vs Montegiorgio
1:2
Apr 26, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Montegiorgio vs Porto Sant'Elpidio
0:0
Dec 15, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Porto Sant'Elpidio vs Montegiorgio
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montegiorgio Compare
Top Goalscorer Pampano M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46
Porto Sant'Elpidio Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montegiorgio 20 / 100
Porto Sant'Elpidio 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montegiorgio Porto Sant'Elpidio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Porto Sant'Elpidio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Porto Sant'Elpidio let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Montegiorgio scored in 56% of their last 34 outings.
Recent resilience: Montegiorgio stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Montegiorgio VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Montegiorgio
(Home) 14 May
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1 Montegiorgio
07 May
Montegiorgio
2 : 1 Vigor Senigallia
30 Apr
Vastogirardi
2 : 0 Montegiorgio
23 Apr
Montegiorgio
0 : 1 Matese
16 Apr
Fano
3 : 1 Montegiorgio
Page 1 of 7
07 May
Montegiorgio
2 : 1 Vigor Senigallia
23 Apr
Montegiorgio
0 : 1 Matese
06 Apr
Montegiorgio
0 : 0 Termoli
19 Mar
Montegiorgio
0 : 2 Roma City
05 Mar
Montegiorgio
0 : 0 Trastevere Calcio
Page 1 of 4
Porto Sant'Elpidio
(Away) 19 Jun
Porto Sant'Elpidio
2 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
16 Jun
Vastese
1 : 0 Porto Sant'Elpidio
13 Jun
Porto Sant'Elpidio
3 : 2 Castelnuovo Vomano
06 Jun
Campobasso
1 : 1 Porto Sant'Elpidio
30 May
Agnonese
1 : 0 Porto Sant'Elpidio
Page 1 of 6
16 Jun
Vastese
1 : 0 Porto Sant'Elpidio
06 Jun
Campobasso
1 : 1 Porto Sant'Elpidio
30 May
Agnonese
1 : 0 Porto Sant'Elpidio
19 May
Giulianova
2 : 0 Porto Sant'Elpidio
16 May
Montegiorgio
1 : 0 Porto Sant'Elpidio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Campobasso | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 63:29 | 72 |
| 2 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 59:34 | 64 |
| 3 | Pineto | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 45:33 | 56 |
| 4 | Cynthialbalonga | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 51:35 | 56 |
| 5 | Matese | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 46:38 | 56 |
| 6 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 46:33 | 55 |
| 7 | Recanatese | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 62:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Castelnuovo Vomano | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 53:53 | 50 |
| 9 | Vastese | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:37 | 48 |
| 10 | Montegiorgio | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 42:42 | 46 |
| 11 | FC Rieti | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:42 | 44 |
| 12 | Aprilia | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:49 | 44 |
| 13 | Roma City | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 40:41 | 40 |
| 14 | US Tolentino | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 52:53 | 40 |
| 15 | Vastogirardi | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46:51 | 40 |
| 16 | Giulianova | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 33:50 | 31 |
| 17 | Porto Sant'Elpidio | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 22:63 | 17 |
| 18 | Agnonese | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 25:83 | 15 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
