Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montegiorgio vs Trastevere Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Montegiorgio
15%
Draws
65%
Trastevere Calcio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trastevere Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Trastevere Calcio have won more games recently than Montegiorgio.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Montegiorgio Clean Sheet 15%
Trastevere Calcio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montegiorgio Trastevere Calcio
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 15
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.67 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Montegiorgio vs Trastevere Calcio
0:0
Oct 30, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Trastevere Calcio vs Montegiorgio
2:1
Mar 2, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Montegiorgio vs Trastevere Calcio
0:0
Oct 17, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Trastevere Calcio vs Montegiorgio
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montegiorgio 35 / 100
Trastevere Calcio 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montegiorgio Trastevere Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trastevere Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trastevere Calcio has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Montegiorgio's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Montegiorgio went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Trastevere Calcio
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Montegiorgio

(Home)
14 May
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1
Montegiorgio
07 May
Montegiorgio
2 : 1
Vigor Senigallia
30 Apr
Vastogirardi
2 : 0
Montegiorgio
23 Apr
Montegiorgio
0 : 1
Matese
16 Apr
Fano
3 : 1
Montegiorgio
Page 1 of 6

Trastevere Calcio

(Away)
27 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3
Trastevere Calcio
20 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 6
Paganese
16 Sept
Ossese
1 : 1
Trastevere Calcio
13 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 1
Gelbison
06 Sept
US Venafro
0 : 1
Trastevere Calcio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pineto 34 21 9 4 50:21 72
2 Vigor Senigallia 34 20 7 7 52:34 67
3 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 56:41 62
4 Fano 34 18 6 10 45:34 60
5 Cynthialbalonga 34 13 13 8 32:23 52
6 Matese 34 12 11 11 44:38 47
7 Sambenedettese 34 13 8 13 39:37 46
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 10 12 29:27 46
9 Porto D'Ascoli 34 10 15 9 28:27 45
10 Vastogirardi 34 10 13 11 30:31 42
11 Nuova Florida 34 11 9 14 33:44 42
12 Avezzano 34 11 7 16 35:41 40
13 Roma City 34 9 10 15 29:42 37
14 Vastese 34 8 12 14 37:43 36
15 Termoli 34 5 19 10 25:34 34
16 Notaresco Calcio 34 6 13 15 23:41 31
17 Montegiorgio 34 7 10 17 21:34 31
18 US Tolentino 34 7 10 17 25:41 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)