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Montego Bay vs FC Dunbeholden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Fletcher J.
90' Event
Barnett S.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Montego Bay and FC Dunbeholden finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montego Bay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Montego Bay
15%
Draws
16%
FC Dunbeholden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montego Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • FC Dunbeholden haven't matched Montego Bay's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Montego Bay's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Montego Bay here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Montego Bay Clean Sheet 19%
FC Dunbeholden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montego Bay FC Dunbeholden
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 17 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.91 1.12
Goals Conceded 1 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Premier League
Montego Bay vs FC Dunbeholden
1:0
Mar 18, 2026 Premier League
Montego Bay vs FC Dunbeholden
4:3
Jan 11, 2026 Premier League
Montego Bay vs FC Dunbeholden
1:0
Sep 7, 2025 Premier League
FC Dunbeholden vs Montego Bay
1:2
Apr 6, 2025 Premier League
Montego Bay vs FC Dunbeholden
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montego Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Fletcher J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

FC Dunbeholden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montego Bay 85 / 100
FC Dunbeholden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montego Bay FC Dunbeholden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montego Bay Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

FC Dunbeholden lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Montego Bay's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: FC Dunbeholden conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Montego Bay VS FC Dunbeholden
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Montego Bay

(Home)
11 Oct
Cavalier
1 : 3
Montego Bay
04 Oct
Montego Bay
1 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
27 Sept
Racing United
0 : 1
Montego Bay
20 Sept
Montego Bay
0 : 0
Tru-Juice FC
13 Sept
Montego Bay
2 : 0
Chapelton
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FC Dunbeholden

(Away)
11 Oct
FC Dunbeholden
1 : 0
Molynes United
04 Oct
Montego Bay
1 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
27 Sept
FC Dunbeholden
0 : 2
Mount Pleasant
22 Sept
Arnett Gardens
3 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
13 Sept
FC Dunbeholden
1 : 2
Cavalier
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montego Bay 5 4 1 0 7:1 13
2 Waterhouse 4 3 1 0 14:1 10
3 Racing United 4 3 0 1 10:3 9
4 Tivoli 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
5 Tru-Juice FC 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
6 Cavalier 4 2 1 1 7:7 7
7 Portmore 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
8 Chapelton 5 1 2 2 3:10 5
9 Arnett Gardens 4 1 1 2 8:7 4
10 Mount Pleasant 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
11 FC Dunbeholden 5 1 0 4 2:8 3
12 Molynes United 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
13 Treasure Beach 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
14 Humble Lions 5 0 2 3 2:13 2
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)