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Montehermoso vs Gevora

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Zambrano D.
19' Event
Perera Gomez I.
75' Event
Bachuri J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 game between Montehermoso and Gevora finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gevora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Montehermoso
22%
Draws
60%
Gevora
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Gevora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Montehermoso haven't matched Gevora's recent run of results.
  • Gevora are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Montehermoso Clean Sheet 16%
Gevora Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montehermoso Gevora
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montehermoso vs Gevora
1:3
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Gevora vs Montehermoso
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montehermoso Compare

Top Goalscorer Zambrano D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Gevora Compare

Top Goalscorer Perera Gomez I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bachuri J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montehermoso 19 / 100
Gevora 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montehermoso Gevora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Montehermoso scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Gevora has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Montehermoso stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montehermoso VS Gevora
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montehermoso

(Home)
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1
Montehermoso
03 May
Montehermoso
0 : 3
Villanovense
26 Apr
Cabeza del Buey
2 : 1
Montehermoso
19 Apr
Montehermoso
2 : 2
AD Llerenense
12 Apr
CD Badajoz
4 : 0
Montehermoso
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Gevora

(Away)
10 May
CD Badajoz
3 : 0
Gevora
03 May
Gevora
1 : 1
Pueblonuevo
26 Apr
Montijo
0 : 1
Gevora
19 Apr
Gevora
2 : 1
Moralo
12 Apr
CD Diocesano
2 : 1
Gevora
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Don Benito34218570:2271
2CD Badajoz34235664:2771
3Moralo341711654:3262
4CD Azuaga34188853:3162
5Jaraiz341611753:3359
6Cabeza del Buey341512745:2957
7SP Villafranca341671145:4055
8Villanovense341581145:3653
9Montijo341371443:4246
10Jerez CF34817956:5141
11AD Llerenense341181535:4441
12Puebla de la Calzada349111435:4838
13Santa Amalia34971830:5234
14Gevora34891732:5333
15Pueblonuevo34961929:5533
16CD Diocesano346121633:6330
17Montehermoso34582124:6623
18CD Calamonte343131825:4722
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)