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Montenegro U17 vs Bulgaria U16 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Minkov M.
76' Event
Nyagolov E.

AI Match Summary

Bulgaria U16 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bulgaria U16.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Montenegro U17
15%
Draws
59%
Bulgaria U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bulgaria U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bulgaria U16 lately — more wins on the board than Montenegro U17.
  • Bulgaria U16 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Montenegro U17 Clean Sheet 14%
Bulgaria U16 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montenegro U17 Bulgaria U16
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 7 11
Draws 4 2
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2024 Friendly International
Montenegro U17 vs Bulgaria U16
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montenegro U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Bulgaria U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Minkov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nyagolov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montenegro U17 15 / 100
Bulgaria U16 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montenegro U17 Bulgaria U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bulgaria U16 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montenegro U17's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bulgaria U16 has conceded goals in 62% of their last 21 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Montenegro U17 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montenegro U17 VS Bulgaria U16
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.33
88% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Montenegro U17

(Home)
01 Jun
France U17
5 : 0
Montenegro U17
29 May
Montenegro U17
0 : 3
Italy U17
26 May
Montenegro U17
1 : 2
Denmark U17
31 Mar
Montenegro U17
0 : 5
Sweden U17
28 Mar
Montenegro U17
4 : 0
Norway U17
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Bulgaria U16

(Away)
16 Apr
Bulgaria U16
3 : 2
Latvia U16
13 Apr
Bosnia & Herzegovina U16
1 : 0
Bulgaria U16
11 Apr
Bulgaria U16
3 : 1
Luxembourg U16
22 Aug
Montenegro U16
2 : 2
Bulgaria U16
20 Aug
Montenegro U16
2 : 0
Bulgaria U16
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