Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montenegro U17 vs Italy U17

Europe Europe

Euro U17 2026 Kalevi Keskstaadion, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ballarin F.
11'
Uzunovski B.
26' Event
Corigliano T.
Assist: Perillo D.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U17 2026 game between Montenegro U17 and Italy U17 finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Italy U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Montenegro U17
20%
Draws
63%
Italy U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Italy U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Italy U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Italy U17's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U17 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Montenegro U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Italy U17 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montenegro U17 Italy U17
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 7 23
Draws 6 3
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1 2.06
Goals Conceded 2.19 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Euro U17
Montenegro U17 vs Italy U17
0:3
Oct 4, 2025 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs Montenegro U17
1:2
Mar 25, 2020 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs Montenegro U17
0:0
Oct 24, 2017 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs Montenegro U17
3:0
Apr 22, 2011 Friendly International
Italy U17 vs Montenegro U17
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montenegro U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Italy U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ballarin F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Corigliano T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montenegro U17 10 / 100
Italy U17 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montenegro U17 Italy U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U17 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 36 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Montenegro U17 scored in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Montenegro U17 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montenegro U17 VS Italy U17
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
83% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montenegro U17

(Home)
01 Jun
France U17
5 : 0
Montenegro U17
29 May
Montenegro U17
0 : 3
Italy U17
26 May
Montenegro U17
1 : 2
Denmark U17
31 Mar
Montenegro U17
0 : 5
Sweden U17
28 Mar
Montenegro U17
4 : 0
Norway U17
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Italy U17

(Away)
26 Sept
Italy U17
3 : 3
Turkey U17
30 Aug
Hungary U17
1 : 3
Italy U17
26 Aug
Italy U17
3 : 3
Turkey U17
07 Jun
Belgium U17
1 : 2
Italy U17
04 Jun
Italy U17
2 : 1
Spain U17
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U17 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
2 Spain U17 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Croatia U17 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
4 Estonia U17 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U17 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 France U17 3 2 0 1 9:1 6
3 Denmark U17 3 1 1 1 5:8 4
4 Montenegro U17 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Play Offs)