Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montenegro U19 vs North Macedonia U19

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Sabotikj E.
63' Event
Roganovic J.
65' Event
Ristovski G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Montenegro U19 and North Macedonia U19 finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward North Macedonia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Montenegro U19
35%
Draws
19%
North Macedonia U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Montenegro U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Montenegro U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Montenegro U19 Clean Sheet 11%
North Macedonia U19 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montenegro U19 North Macedonia U19
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 10
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.28 0.9
Goals Conceded 2 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 Friendly International
Montenegro U19 vs North Macedonia U19
2:4
Oct 9, 2025 Friendly International
Montenegro U19 vs North Macedonia U19
0:0
May 23, 2024 Friendly International
North Macedonia U19 vs Montenegro U19
2:1
May 21, 2024 Friendly International
North Macedonia U19 vs Montenegro U19
1:5
Apr 15, 2021 Friendly International
North Macedonia U19 vs Montenegro U19
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montenegro U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Roganovic J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fatic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

North Macedonia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ljatifi A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sabotikj E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montenegro U19 29 / 100
North Macedonia U19 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montenegro U19 North Macedonia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montenegro U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Montenegro U19's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

North Macedonia U19 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Montenegro U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montenegro U19 VS North Macedonia U19
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montenegro U19

(Home)
06 Jun
Iceland U19
1 : 1
Montenegro U19
03 Jun
Montenegro U19
1 : 1
Georgia U19
18 Nov
Albania U19
0 : 1
Montenegro U19
15 Nov
Ukraine U19
3 : 0
Montenegro U19
12 Nov
Montenegro U19
0 : 3
Slovakia U19
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North Macedonia U19

(Away)
28 May
North Macedonia U19
0 : 4
Slovenia U18
26 May
North Macedonia U19
1 : 3
Slovenia U18
31 Mar
Moldova U19
1 : 1
North Macedonia U19
28 Mar
Netherlands U19
4 : 0
North Macedonia U19
25 Mar
North Macedonia U19
0 : 0
Faroe Islands U19
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