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Montenegro vs Faroe Islands Prediction & H2H Stats

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World Championship 2026 Stadion Gradski, Nikšić
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Hendriksson B.
46'
Sub
Sorensen H. In: Frederiksberg A.
Out: Sorensen H.
46'
Sub
Knudsen P. In: Klettskard P.
Out: Knudsen P.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Montenegro and Faroe Islands finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montenegro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Montenegro
35%
Draws
21%
Faroe Islands
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Montenegro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Montenegro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Montenegro's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Montenegro Clean Sheet 68%
Faroe Islands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montenegro Faroe Islands
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 9
Draws 2 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.28 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2025 World Championship
Faroe Islands vs Montenegro
4:0
Mar 25, 2025 World Championship
Montenegro vs Faroe Islands
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montenegro Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuc E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Faroe Islands Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montenegro 68 / 100
Faroe Islands 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montenegro Faroe Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montenegro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montenegro has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Montenegro scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Faroe Islands conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Montenegro VS Faroe Islands
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Montenegro

(Home)
02 Oct
Latvia
1 : 2
Montenegro
28 Sept
Armenia
2 : 3
Montenegro
25 Sept
Montenegro
2 : 1
Cyprus
05 Jun
Slovakia
2 : 2
Montenegro
01 Jun
Bulgaria
0 : 1
Montenegro
Page 1 of 6

Faroe Islands

(Away)
02 Oct
Faroe Islands
1 : 1
Slovakia
29 Sept
Moldova
1 : 1
Faroe Islands
26 Sept
Faroe Islands
1 : 1
Kazakhstan
09 Jun
Latvia
0 : 1
Faroe Islands
06 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Faroe Islands
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
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