Sport Picks
Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Cardinale Stadium, Seaside, CA 
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Monterey Bay and Las Vegas Lights finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monterey Bay.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Las Vegas Lights
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Las Vegas Lights come out ahead of Monterey Bay on wins alone.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Monterey Bay taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Monterey Bay Clean Sheet 16%
Las Vegas Lights Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monterey Bay | Las Vegas Lights |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 18 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 25, 2026 USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights
2:1
Jul 12, 2026 USL Cup
Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights
2:3
Mar 29, 2026 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs Monterey Bay
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights
1:1
Jun 15, 2025 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs Monterey Bay
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Monterey Bay 36 / 100
Las Vegas Lights 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Monterey Bay Las Vegas Lights
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Monterey Bay found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Las Vegas Lights conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Difficult form: Las Vegas Lights registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Monterey Bay VS Las Vegas Lights
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Monterey Bay
(Home) 18 Oct
Monterey Bay
0 : 1 Colorado Springs
11 Oct
New Mexico
3 : 1 Monterey Bay
04 Oct
Orange County SC
1 : 2 Monterey Bay
27 Sept
Monterey Bay
2 : 3 Lexington
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
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18 Oct
Monterey Bay
0 : 1 Colorado Springs
27 Sept
Monterey Bay
2 : 3 Lexington
06 Sept
Monterey Bay
1 : 1 Phoenix Rising
30 Aug
Monterey Bay
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
09 Aug
Monterey Bay
2 : 5 New Mexico
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Las Vegas Lights
(Away) 18 Oct
Las Vegas Lights
3 : 5 Lexington
11 Oct
Phoenix Rising
3 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
04 Oct
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 0 San Antonio FC
01 Oct
Sacramento Republic
3 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
20 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
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11 Oct
Phoenix Rising
3 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
01 Oct
Sacramento Republic
3 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
22 Aug
Lexington
2 : 0 Las Vegas Lights
08 Aug
Miami FC
0 : 1 Las Vegas Lights
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 50:26 | 58 |
| 2 | Charleston | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 56:35 | 53 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 34:21 | 50 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 51:43 | 46 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 41:31 | 42 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 31:29 | 42 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 39:49 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 35:41 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 38:48 | 31 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 39:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 34:63 | 21 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 29 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 32:76 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 48:37 | 50 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 44:34 | 49 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 39:26 | 48 |
| 4 | Lexington | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 54:36 | 47 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 42:38 | 44 |
| 6 | FC Tulsa | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 34:29 | 43 |
| 7 | San Antonio FC | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 30:29 | 42 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 42:43 | 39 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 38:47 | 39 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 37:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 40:46 | 36 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 30:51 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
