Sport Picks
Monterey Bay vs Loudoun United
USA
USL Championship Cardinale Stadium, Seaside, CA 
Match Events
5'
5'
Bidois R.
Assist: Paul I.
11'
11'
Leggett W.
46'
46'
Sub
Piras L. In: Panayotou J.
Out: Piras L.
AI Match Summary
Monterey Bay in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monterey Bay.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
20%
48%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Loudoun United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Monterey Bay average 1.21 goals a game right now, well clear of Loudoun United's 1.14.
- Model gives Monterey Bay a 36% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Monterey Bay have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Monterey Bay Clean Sheet 16%
Loudoun United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monterey Bay | Loudoun United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 18 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 31, 2026 USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs Loudoun United
4:1
May 18, 2024 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs Monterey Bay
3:0
Jun 4, 2023 USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs Loudoun United
4:1
Jul 30, 2022 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs Monterey Bay
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Monterey Bay Compare
Top Goalscorer Bidois R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Leggett W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Loudoun United Compare
Top Goalscorer Ordonez A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Monterey Bay 36 / 100
Loudoun United 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Monterey Bay Loudoun United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Monterey Bay scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Loudoun United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Loudoun United lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Monterey Bay VS Loudoun United
1 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Monterey Bay
(Home) 27 Sept
Monterey Bay
2 : 3 Lexington
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
06 Sept
Monterey Bay
1 : 1 Phoenix Rising
30 Aug
Monterey Bay
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
22 Aug
Rhode Island
3 : 1 Monterey Bay
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Monterey Bay
2 : 3 Lexington
06 Sept
Monterey Bay
1 : 1 Phoenix Rising
30 Aug
Monterey Bay
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
09 Aug
Monterey Bay
2 : 5 New Mexico
26 Jul
Monterey Bay
1 : 2 Orange County SC
Page 1 of 3
Loudoun United
(Away) 25 Sept
Sporting Jax
1 : 4 Loudoun United
19 Sept
Louisville City
2 : 1 Loudoun United
12 Sept
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0 Loudoun United
04 Sept
Loudoun United
4 : 5 Colorado Springs
30 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
4 : 1 Loudoun United
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Sporting Jax
1 : 4 Loudoun United
19 Sept
Louisville City
2 : 1 Loudoun United
12 Sept
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0 Loudoun United
30 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
4 : 1 Loudoun United
15 Aug
Detroit City
0 : 0 Loudoun United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 45:23 | 52 |
| 2 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29:19 | 41 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 6 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32:31 | 33 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 35:28 | 32 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:43 | 30 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 36:42 | 23 |
| 11 | Loudoun United | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 31:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25:49 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 31:69 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 45:32 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 39:30 | 43 |
| 3 | Lexington | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 46:32 | 40 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 33:22 | 40 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 40:37 | 39 |
| 6 | Orange County SC | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 35:40 | 39 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 30:24 | 38 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 29:28 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32:35 | 33 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:35 | 33 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 35:38 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27:46 | 18 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
