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Monterosi vs Potenza

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Sub
Frediani M. In: Gavioli L.
Out: Frediani M.
40'
Piroli D.
46'
Sub
Piroli D. In: Cinaglia D.
Out: Piroli D.

AI Match Summary

Potenza in this Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Potenza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Monterosi
44%
Draws
20%
Potenza
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Potenza have won more games recently than Monterosi.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Monterosi Clean Sheet 19%
Potenza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterosi Potenza
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 12
Draws 9 11
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Potenza vs Monterosi
1:1
May 12, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Monterosi vs Potenza
0:1
Feb 10, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Monterosi vs Potenza
1:1
Sep 30, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Monterosi
1:0
Jan 7, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Monterosi vs Potenza
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monterosi Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Potenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Caturano S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterosi 36 / 100
Potenza 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterosi Potenza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterosi's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Potenza conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.

Monterosi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Potenza
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Novara5
Fiorenzuola2
Recanatese4
Vis Pesaro4
Monterosi1
Potenza2
Virtus Francavilla2
Monopoli2