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Monterrey vs Juarez

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio BBVA, Monterrey
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Orellano L.
Assist: Rossi D.
15' Event
Rossi D.
Assist: Chavez R.
29' Event
Cuypers H.
Assist: Pineda O.

AI Match Summary

Monterrey in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monterrey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Monterrey
15%
Draws
34%
Juarez
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monterrey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Monterrey have won more games recently than Juarez.
  • Win probability leans Monterrey's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Monterrey Clean Sheet 19%
Juarez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterrey Juarez
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.57 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Liga MX
Juarez vs Monterrey
2:2
Oct 22, 2025 Liga MX
Monterrey vs Juarez
4:2
Feb 9, 2025 Liga MX
Juarez vs Monterrey
2:1
Sep 19, 2024 Liga MX
Monterrey vs Juarez
3:2
Feb 24, 2024 Liga MX
Juarez vs Monterrey
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monterrey Compare

Top Goalscorer Orellano L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rossi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Juarez Compare

Top Goalscorer Estupinan O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterrey 85 / 100
Juarez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterrey Juarez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monterrey Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juarez's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Monterrey found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Monterrey went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monterrey VS Juarez
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Monterrey

(Home)
13 Aug
Monterrey
2 : 1
Nashville SC
09 Aug
Inter Miami
1 : 2
Monterrey
05 Aug
Monterrey
1 : 2
Orlando City
02 Aug
Atlas
0 : 2
Monterrey
26 Jul
Necaxa
2 : 1
Monterrey
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Juarez

(Away)
12 Aug
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
Juarez
08 Aug
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 3
Juarez
05 Aug
Minnesota United
1 : 2
Juarez
01 Aug
Juarez
1 : 5
UNAM Pumas
25 Jul
Guadalajara Chivas
1 : 0
Juarez
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Club Tijuana 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
3 Toluca 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
4 UNAM Pumas 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
5 Monterrey 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Cruz Azul 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
7 Queretaro 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
8 Necaxa 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
9 Atlas 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
10 Atlante 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
11 Puebla 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
12 Guadalajara Chivas 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
13 Pachuca 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
14 Club Leon 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
15 Atletico San Luis 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
16 Tigres UANL 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
17 Santos Laguna 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
18 Juarez 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)