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Monterrey W vs Club Leon W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Cancha El Barrial, Santiago
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Bolanos V.
Assist: Garcia M.
15' Event
Restrepo M.
21'
Razo V.

AI Match Summary

Club Leon W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Club Leon W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Monterrey W
15%
Draws
24%
Club Leon W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monterrey W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Club Leon W haven't matched Monterrey W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Monterrey W a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Monterrey W Clean Sheet 15%
Club Leon W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterrey W Club Leon W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 2.58 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.06 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Club Leon W
2:3
Jan 27, 2026 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Monterrey W
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Club Leon W
3:1
Apr 19, 2025 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Club Leon W
2:0
Sep 27, 2024 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Monterrey W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monterrey W Compare

Top Goalscorer Restrepo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Club Leon W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolanos V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader De La Rosa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterrey W 84 / 100
Club Leon W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterrey W Club Leon W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monterrey W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterrey W found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Club Leon W conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Monterrey W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Monterrey W VS Club Leon W
2.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Monterrey W

(Home)
03 Oct
Monterrey W
4 : 3
Club America W
27 Sept
Puebla W
1 : 2
Monterrey W
19 Sept
Monterrey W
10 : 0
Necaxa W
12 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 3
Monterrey W
06 Sept
Monterrey W
5 : 1
Toluca W
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Club Leon W

(Away)
28 Sept
Club Leon W
0 : 5
Club America W
21 Sept
Club Leon W
0 : 2
Juarez W
15 Sept
Pachuca W
0 : 1
Club Leon W
08 Sept
Club Leon W
5 : 2
Puebla W
29 Aug
Toluca W
1 : 0
Club Leon W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)