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Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Cancha El Barrial, Santiago
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Monterrey W host Cruz Azul W in the Liga MX Women. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Monterrey W have averaged 2.63 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Cruz Azul W's 1.79 scored and 1.55 conceded. Head-to-head, Monterrey W have won 3 to Cruz Azul W's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 3.31 vs 1.06, favoring Monterrey W. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Monterrey W
15%
Draws
32%
Cruz Azul W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monterrey W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Cruz Azul W haven't matched Monterrey W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Monterrey W a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Monterrey W Clean Sheet 20%
Cruz Azul W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterrey W Cruz Azul W
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 23 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.63 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W
4:0
Apr 30, 2026 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Monterrey W
1:1
Jan 22, 2026 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W
2:1
Aug 12, 2025 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Monterrey W
4:0
Mar 3, 2025 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Monterrey W
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterrey W 85 / 100
Cruz Azul W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterrey W Cruz Azul W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monterrey W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterrey W scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Monterrey W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Cruz Azul W has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Monterrey W VS Cruz Azul W
4.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Monterrey W

(Home)
03 Oct
Monterrey W
4 : 3
Club America W
27 Sept
Puebla W
1 : 2
Monterrey W
19 Sept
Monterrey W
10 : 0
Necaxa W
12 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 3
Monterrey W
06 Sept
Monterrey W
5 : 1
Toluca W
Page 1 of 7

Cruz Azul W

(Away)
04 Oct
Necaxa W
0 : 2
Cruz Azul W
26 Sept
Cruz Azul W
0 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas W
22 Sept
Santos Laguna W
2 : 0
Cruz Azul W
12 Sept
Cruz Azul W
3 : 2
UNAM Pumas W
06 Sept
Queretaro W
0 : 2
Cruz Azul W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)