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Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Cancha El Barrial
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Monterrey W play Cruz Azul W in the Liga MX Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Monterrey W averaged 2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Cruz Azul W averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Monterrey W won 3, Cruz Azul W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Monterrey W and 1.44 for Cruz Azul W. This points to a Monterrey W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Monterrey W
22%
Draws
33%
Cruz Azul W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Monterrey W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Monterrey W picked up more points recently compared to Cruz Azul W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Monterrey W Clean Sheet 16%
Cruz Azul W Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterrey W Cruz Azul W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W
4:0
Apr 30, 2026 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Monterrey W
1:1
Jan 22, 2026 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W
2:1
Aug 12, 2025 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Monterrey W
4:0
Mar 3, 2025 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Monterrey W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monterrey W Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cruz Azul W Compare

Top Goalscorer Abam M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterrey W 44 / 100
Cruz Azul W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterrey W Cruz Azul W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Monterrey W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Monterrey W attacking → ← attacking Cruz Azul W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterrey W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Cruz Azul W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Monterrey W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cruz Azul W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 50
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Club America W17133144:1342
2Monterrey W17124139:840
3Tigres UANL W17114241:1337
4Pachuca W17113346:1536
5Guadalajara Chivas W1797127:1334
6Toluca W17103438:2633
7Cruz Azul W1794438:1931
8Juarez W1785427:1829
9Club Tijuana W1784531:2328
10UNAM Pumas W1764723:2922
11Atletico San Luis W1763820:3221
12Mazatlan FC W1753919:2718
13Club Leon W1744932:3516
14Atlas W17331122:4012
15Puebla W17321211:4611
16Santos Laguna W17231214:299
17Queretaro W17121411:465
18Necaxa W17111511:624