Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monterrey W vs UNAM Pumas W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Cancha El Barrial
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Gielnik E.
29' Event
Gielnik E.
42'
Davila J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between Monterrey W and UNAM Pumas W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monterrey W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Monterrey W
6%
Draws
4%
UNAM Pumas W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Monterrey W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monterrey W come out ahead of UNAM Pumas W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Monterrey W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Monterrey W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Monterrey W Clean Sheet 20%
UNAM Pumas W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterrey W UNAM Pumas W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs UNAM Pumas W
3:0
Jul 13, 2025 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Monterrey W
4:0
Jan 10, 2025 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs UNAM Pumas W
2:1
Oct 13, 2024 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Monterrey W
1:2
May 14, 2024 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs UNAM Pumas W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monterrey W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gielnik E.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

UNAM Pumas W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterrey W 85 / 100
UNAM Pumas W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterrey W UNAM Pumas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterrey W's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: UNAM Pumas W conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Monterrey W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monterrey W VS UNAM Pumas W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.29
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.14
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 86%
13% Over 3.5 29%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club America W17133144:1342
2Monterrey W17124139:840
3Tigres UANL W17114241:1337
4Pachuca W17113346:1536
5Guadalajara Chivas W1797127:1334
6Toluca W17103438:2633
7Cruz Azul W1794438:1931
8Juarez W1785427:1829
9Club Tijuana W1784531:2328
10UNAM Pumas W1764723:2922
11Atletico San Luis W1763820:3221
12Mazatlan FC W1753919:2718
13Club Leon W1744932:3516
14Atlas W17331122:4012
15Puebla W17321211:4611
16Santos Laguna W17231214:299
17Queretaro W17121411:465
18Necaxa W17111511:624