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Montes Claros vs Patrocinense

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Campeonato Mineiro 2 2014
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Mineiro 2 2014 game between Montes Claros and Patrocinense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montes Claros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Montes Claros
20%
Draws
48%
Patrocinense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Patrocinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Montes Claros carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Montes Claros's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Montes Claros Clean Sheet 20%
Patrocinense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montes Claros Patrocinense
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.03 0.65
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2015 Mineiro 2
Montes Claros vs Patrocinense
1:1
Feb 21, 2015 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Montes Claros
0:0
Mar 1, 2014 Mineiro 2
Montes Claros vs Patrocinense
1:0
Feb 5, 2014 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Montes Claros
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montes Claros 40 / 100
Patrocinense 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montes Claros Patrocinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montes Claros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montes Claros's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Patrocinense conceded in 71% of 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Patrocinense lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Patrocinense
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montes Claros

(Home)
21 Mar
Tricordiano
1 : 0
Montes Claros
19 Mar
Montes Claros
1 : 1
Patrocinense
14 Mar
Montes Claros
0 : 1
Araxa
12 Mar
Uberlandia
1 : 1
Montes Claros
07 Mar
CAP Uberlandia
3 : 1
Montes Claros
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Patrocinense

(Away)
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1
Patrocinense
19 Jul
Patrocinense
1 : 4
Democrata SL
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
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