Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Vitelli R.
45'
45'
Malizia M.
45'
45'
Sirbu D.
AI Match Summary
Flaminia in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Flaminia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
8%
30%
62%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Flaminia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Montespaccato haven't matched Flaminia's recent run of results.
- 62% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Flaminia have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Montespaccato Clean Sheet 10%
Flaminia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montespaccato | Flaminia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 12 |
| Draws | 12 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 2.10 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Montespaccato vs Flaminia
2:4
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Flaminia vs Montespaccato
3:1
Jan 15, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Flaminia vs Montespaccato
2:1
Sep 11, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Montespaccato vs Flaminia
1:2
Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Montespaccato vs Flaminia
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montespaccato Compare
Top Goalscorer Vitelli R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Malizia M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8
Flaminia Compare
Top Goalscorer Sirbu D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Tascini A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.91
Avg xA / game 1.17
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montespaccato 34 / 100
Flaminia 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montespaccato Flaminia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Flaminia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Montespaccato's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Flaminia let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.
Solid form: Montespaccato remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Montespaccato VS Flaminia
1.33 Goals Scored 1.88
2.33 Goals Conceded 1.88
83% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Montespaccato
(Home) 03 May
Montespaccato
2 : 4 Flaminia
26 Apr
Ischia
1 : 0 Montespaccato
19 Apr
Montespaccato
2 : 3 Latte Dolce
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2 Montespaccato
02 Apr
Montespaccato
1 : 1 Atl. Lodigiani
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Montespaccato
2 : 4 Flaminia
19 Apr
Montespaccato
2 : 3 Latte Dolce
02 Apr
Montespaccato
1 : 1 Atl. Lodigiani
22 Mar
Montespaccato
2 : 2 Sarrabus Ogliastra
01 Mar
Montespaccato
1 : 1 Cassino
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Flaminia
(Away) 04 Oct
Flaminia
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
27 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
20 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
5 : 1 Flaminia
16 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 2 Sasso Marconi
13 Sept
Grassina
0 : 1 Flaminia
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
5 : 1 Flaminia
13 Sept
Grassina
0 : 1 Flaminia
26 Jul
Lazio
6 : 0 Flaminia
10 May
Monastir
3 : 3 Flaminia
03 May
Montespaccato
2 : 4 Flaminia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scafatese | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 75:23 | 87 |
| 2 | Trastevere Calcio | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 64:46 | 60 |
| 3 | Monastir | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:44 | 53 |
| 4 | Flaminia | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53:37 | 51 |
| 5 | Albalonga | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 55:55 | 50 |
| 6 | Latte Dolce | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:49 | 48 |
| 7 | Valmontone | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:50 | 48 |
| 8 | Nocerina | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 36:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:51 | 46 |
| 10 | Budoni Calcio | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 33:32 | 45 |
| 11 | Palmese 1914 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 12 | Atl. Lodigiani | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:40 | 44 |
| 13 | Ischia | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 36:52 | 43 |
| 14 | Anzio Calcio 1924 | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 15 | Real Monterotondo | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39:58 | 36 |
| 16 | Olbia | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 39:50 | 36 |
| 17 | Montespaccato | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 47:58 | 30 |
| 18 | Cassino | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 24:55 | 21 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)
