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Montevarchi vs Camaiore Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Galeota A.
51' Event
Tommasini E.

AI Match Summary

Montevarchi in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montevarchi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Montevarchi
11%
Draws
9%
Camaiore Calcio
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Montevarchi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Montevarchi have won more games recently than Camaiore Calcio.
  • Montevarchi are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Montevarchi Clean Sheet 68%
Camaiore Calcio Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montevarchi Camaiore Calcio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 14 6
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Montevarchi vs Camaiore Calcio
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Camaiore Calcio vs Montevarchi
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montevarchi Compare

Top Goalscorer Galeota A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tommasini E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Camaiore Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montevarchi 86 / 100
Camaiore Calcio 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montevarchi Camaiore Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Camaiore Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Montevarchi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Camaiore Calcio registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montevarchi VS Camaiore Calcio
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montevarchi

(Home)
03 May
Prato
1 : 0
Montevarchi
26 Apr
Montevarchi
1 : 0
Ghiviborgo
19 Apr
Siena
0 : 0
Montevarchi
12 Apr
Montevarchi
1 : 1
Terranuova Traiana
02 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0 : 0
Montevarchi
Page 1 of 6

Camaiore Calcio

(Away)
10 May
Follonica Gavorrano
3 : 2
Camaiore Calcio
03 May
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0 : 0
Camaiore Calcio
26 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
2 : 5
Siena
19 Apr
Terranuova Traiana
2 : 1
Camaiore Calcio
12 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
1 : 1
Poggibonsi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosseto34226658:2572
2Tau34189753:3363
3Prato34205949:2963
4Siena34179857:3560
5Seravezza Pozzi341512742:2957
6Terranuova Traiana341491128:3051
7Foligno341491145:3751
8Scandicci341115839:3248
9Montevarchi341016828:3246
10Sporting Trestina3410121240:4242
11San Donato Tavarnelle349131230:3540
12Ghiviborgo3410101442:4440
13Orvietana349111433:3738
14Follonica Gavorrano349101536:4937
15Camaiore Calcio34981741:5435
16Poggibonsi347101729:4631
17Cannara34682024:5926
18Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro342161620:4622
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)