Sport Picks
Montevideo City vs CA Cerro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Centenario, Montevideo 
AI Match Summary
Montevideo City host CA Cerro in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. Form suggests where the edge lies here. CA Cerro have shipped 1.45 goals a game lately, while Montevideo City have conceded 1.32 and scored 1.62. Past meetings favor Montevideo City slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.19) point toward Montevideo City. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- CA Cerro haven't matched Montevideo City's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Montevideo City's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montevideo City | CA Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Montevideo City's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
CA Cerro let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Montevideo City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Montevideo City
(Home)CA Cerro
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool M. | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 24 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Penarol | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:8 | 20 |
| 5 | Maldonado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | 18 |
| 7 | Juventud | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12:8 | 17 |
| 8 | Progreso | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | 16 |
| 9 | Racing Montevideo | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 10 | Boston River | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 15 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:17 | 15 |
| 12 | Danubio | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5:11 | 10 |
| 13 | Albion | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 12:19 | 9 |
| 14 | Defensor Sp. | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:20 | 8 |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 16 | Central Esp. | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5:18 | 5 |
