Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Centenario, Montevideo

Montevideo City

1 - 0

Palestino

Our Tip

Match Events

30'

Lecchini R.

38'

Montes Romero F. T.

46'

Sub

Munder C. In: Fernandez R.

Out: Munder C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Montevideo City

15%

Draws

40%

Palestino

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montevideo City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence

Montevideo City have won more games recently than Palestino.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Montevideo City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Montevideo City, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%

Montevideo City Clean Sheet 68%

Palestino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Montevideo City	Palestino
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	18	13
Draws	3	5
Losses	8	11
Goals Scored	1.86	1.48
Goals Conceded	1.24	1.28
Expected Goals (xG)	1.65	1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Montevideo City vs Palestino

1:0

Apr 15, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Palestino vs Montevideo City

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montevideo City Compare

Top Goalscorer Pizzichillo F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.27

Avg xA / game 0.82

Palestino Compare

Avg xG / game 1.21

Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montevideo City 41 / 100

Palestino 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Montevideo City Palestino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montevideo City Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montevideo City scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Palestino conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Montevideo City remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montevideo City VS Palestino

2.13 Goals Scored 1.67

1 Goals Conceded 1.17

88% Over 1.5 67%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Montevideo City

(Home)

27 Sept

Montevideo City

0 : 2

Maldonado

24 Sept

Montevideo City

3 : 3

Atenas

21 Sept

Central Esp.

1 : 4

Montevideo City

18 Sept

Montevideo City

3 : 0

Cienciano

14 Sept

Montevideo City

3 : 1

Liverpool M.

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Palestino

(Away)

12 Sept

Palestino

2 : 3

U. Catolica

06 Sept

Palestino

2 : 1

U. De Concepcion

28 Aug

Cobresal

2 : 0

Palestino

23 Aug

O Higgins

0 : 1

Palestino

18 Aug

Palestino

5 : 1

Huachipato

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