Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monticelli vs Avezzano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Monticelli
15%
Draws
48%
Avezzano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avezzano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Monticelli haven't matched Avezzano's recent run of results.
  • Avezzano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Monticelli Clean Sheet 20%
Avezzano Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monticelli Avezzano
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 5 16
Draws 13 13
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.7 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.3 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Monticelli vs Avezzano
0:0
Sep 17, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Avezzano vs Monticelli
1:1
Feb 14, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Avezzano vs Monticelli
0:0
Oct 12, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Monticelli vs Avezzano
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monticelli 10 / 100
Avezzano 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monticelli Avezzano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avezzano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Monticelli remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Monticelli found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Avezzano let in goals in 54% of their last 41 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Avezzano
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Monticelli

(Home)
06 May
ASD Francavilla
2 : 1
Monticelli
29 Apr
Monticelli
1 : 0
Castelfidardo
22 Apr
Agnonese
6 : 0
Monticelli
15 Apr
Monticelli
1 : 1
Nerostellati Pratola
08 Apr
Fabriano Cerreto
1 : 2
Monticelli
Page 1 of 6

Avezzano

(Away)
04 May
Avezzano
4 : 0
Ancona
27 Apr
Isernia
3 : 2
Avezzano
17 Apr
Avezzano
4 : 0
Castelfidardo
13 Apr
Avezzano
2 : 1
Fossombrone
06 Apr
Fermana
2 : 0
Avezzano
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vis Pesaro 34 23 4 7 61:29 73
2 Matelica 34 22 5 7 66:28 71
3 Avezzano 34 16 14 4 51:26 62
4 Pineto 34 15 12 7 53:41 57
5 Aquila Calcio 34 15 10 9 57:40 55
6 ASD Francavilla 34 14 11 9 47:38 53
7 San Marino Calcio 34 15 6 13 45:35 51
8 Vastese 34 15 6 13 55:50 51
9 Sangiustese 34 13 9 12 39:41 48
10 Campobasso 34 13 10 11 41:40 45
11 Castelfidardo 34 12 8 14 43:54 44
12 Recanatese 34 12 7 15 47:47 43
13 Agnonese 34 11 8 15 34:35 41
14 Notaresco Calcio 34 11 7 16 42:51 40
15 Jesina 34 8 10 16 32:46 34
16 Monticelli 34 5 15 14 25:45 30
17 Fabriano Cerreto 34 5 5 24 29:69 20
18 Nerostellati Pratola 34 3 9 22 19:71 18
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 (Play Offs)