Sport Picks
Montichiari vs Aurora Seriate Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 
AI Match Summary
Aurora Seriate in this Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aurora Seriate.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
10%
20%
70%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aurora Seriate
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Aurora Seriate have won more games recently than Montichiari.
- Win probability leans Aurora Seriate's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Montichiari Clean Sheet 10%
Aurora Seriate Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montichiari | Aurora Seriate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 1 | 12 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 27 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.8 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Aurora Seriate vs Montichiari
1:0
Oct 19, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Montichiari vs Aurora Seriate
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montichiari 10 / 100
Aurora Seriate 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montichiari Aurora Seriate
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aurora Seriate Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aurora Seriate let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Montichiari found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Solid form: Montichiari remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Montichiari VS Aurora Seriate
0.63 Goals Scored 1
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Montichiari
(Home) 10 May
Montichiari
2 : 2 Folgore Caratese
03 May
MapelloBonate
4 : 1 Montichiari
26 Apr
Montichiari
0 : 1 Ciserano
19 Apr
Pergolettese
2 : 1 Montichiari
12 Apr
Montichiari
1 : 2 Villafranca
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Montichiari
2 : 2 Folgore Caratese
26 Apr
Montichiari
0 : 1 Ciserano
12 Apr
Montichiari
1 : 2 Villafranca
29 Mar
Montichiari
0 : 3 Ciliverghe Mazzano
22 Mar
Montichiari
1 : 3 FC Castiglione
Page 1 of 3
Aurora Seriate
(Away) 10 May
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1 Olginatese
03 May
Ciliverghe Mazzano
1 : 3 Aurora Seriate
26 Apr
Aurora Seriate
1 : 0 Pro Sesto
19 Apr
FC Castiglione
2 : 2 Aurora Seriate
12 Apr
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1 Seregno Calcio
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Ciliverghe Mazzano
1 : 3 Aurora Seriate
19 Apr
FC Castiglione
2 : 2 Aurora Seriate
02 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
3 : 2 Aurora Seriate
21 Mar
Virtus Verona
2 : 2 Aurora Seriate
08 Mar
Caravaggio
0 : 1 Aurora Seriate
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Castiglione | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 54:26 | 74 |
| 2 | Lecco | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 65:42 | 66 |
| 3 | Seregno Calcio | 36 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 64:37 | 65 |
| 4 | Ciserano | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 53:39 | 60 |
| 5 | Virtus Verona | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:34 | 59 |
| 6 | Pergolettese | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 46:44 | 55 |
| 7 | Olginatese | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 44:34 | 54 |
| 8 | Ponte San Pietro | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 50:42 | 52 |
| 9 | Ciliverghe Mazzano | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 37:40 | 51 |
| 10 | Sondrio | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 46:50 | 51 |
| 11 | Aurora Seriate | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 12 | Inveruno | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 47:48 | 49 |
| 13 | Villafranca | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 44:49 | 47 |
| 14 | MapelloBonate | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 36:48 | 47 |
| 15 | Pro Sesto | 36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 38:41 | 47 |
| 16 | Caravaggio | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 37:42 | 41 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 36 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 34:40 | 37 |
| 18 | Castellana | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 36:61 | 30 |
| 19 | Montichiari | 36 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 26:97 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 (Play Out)
