Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montijo vs Estrela da Amadora

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group G game between Montijo and Estrela da Amadora finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estrela da Amadora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Montijo
20%
Draws
80%
Estrela da Amadora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estrela da Amadora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Estrela da Amadora come out ahead of Montijo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Estrela da Amadora a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Montijo Clean Sheet 10%
Estrela da Amadora Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montijo Estrela da Amadora
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 4 10
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Montijo vs Estrela da Amadora
1:3
Dec 7, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Estrela da Amadora vs Montijo
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montijo 10 / 100
Estrela da Amadora 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montijo Estrela da Amadora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrela da Amadora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Estrela da Amadora has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Montijo found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Away concern: Estrela da Amadora has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montijo VS Estrela da Amadora
0 Goals Scored 1.25
4 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montijo

(Home)
29 Aug
Montijo
0 : 4
Atletico CP
31 Aug
Charneca Caparica
1 : 0
Montijo
21 Sept
Montijo
1 : 2
Mafra
02 Oct
GD Braganca
1 : 0
Montijo
11 Apr
Oriental
1 : 0
Montijo
Page 1 of 6

Estrela da Amadora

(Away)
20 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
0 : 2
Academico Viseu
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
10 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 1
Braga
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2
Famalicao
30 Aug
Nacional
2 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estrela da Amadora 22 16 5 1 34:12 53
2 Sporting CP B 22 14 7 1 33:7 49
3 Oriental Dragon 22 11 4 7 30:20 37
4 SC Praiense 22 8 8 6 25:23 32
5 Real SC 22 9 5 8 32:23 32
6 GD Fontinhas 22 9 5 8 30:26 32
7 CD Rabo Peixe 22 7 6 9 17:25 27
8 Sporting Ideal 22 5 8 9 26:34 23
9 Belenenses B 22 5 7 10 16:26 22
10 Fabril do Barreiro 22 5 6 11 19:31 21
11 Oriental 22 3 7 12 16:27 16
12 Montijo 22 4 4 14 19:43 16
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)