Sport Picks
Montijo vs Fabril do Barreiro
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group G 
AI Match Summary
Fabril do Barreiro in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group G matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fabril do Barreiro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
30%
70%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fabril do Barreiro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Fabril do Barreiro lately — more wins on the board than Montijo.
- Win probability leans Fabril do Barreiro's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group G form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Montijo Clean Sheet 15%
Fabril do Barreiro Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montijo | Fabril do Barreiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 12 |
| Losses | 19 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.14 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Montijo vs Fabril do Barreiro
1:2
Nov 8, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Fabril do Barreiro vs Montijo
2:2
May 3, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Montijo vs Fabril do Barreiro
0:0
Jan 5, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Fabril do Barreiro vs Montijo
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montijo 10 / 100
Fabril do Barreiro 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montijo Fabril do Barreiro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fabril do Barreiro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Fabril do Barreiro conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Montijo scored in 55% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Montijo VS Fabril do Barreiro
0 Goals Scored 0.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Montijo
(Home) 29 Aug
Montijo
0 : 4 Atletico CP
31 Aug
Charneca Caparica
1 : 0 Montijo
21 Sept
Montijo
1 : 2 Mafra
02 Oct
GD Braganca
1 : 0 Montijo
11 Apr
Oriental
1 : 0 Montijo
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29 Aug
Montijo
0 : 4 Atletico CP
21 Sept
Montijo
1 : 2 Mafra
03 Apr
Montijo
0 : 4 Real SC
21 Mar
Montijo
1 : 2 Fabril do Barreiro
07 Mar
Montijo
1 : 3 Estrela da Amadora
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Fabril do Barreiro
(Away) 13 Apr
Fabril do Barreiro
2 : 1 Louletano
06 Apr
Industria
2 : 2 Fabril do Barreiro
29 Mar
Fabril do Barreiro
0 : 0 Moncarapachense
16 Mar
Estrela Vendas Novas
1 : 4 Fabril do Barreiro
09 Mar
Fabril do Barreiro
1 : 1 FC Barreirense
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06 Apr
Industria
2 : 2 Fabril do Barreiro
16 Mar
Estrela Vendas Novas
1 : 4 Fabril do Barreiro
23 Feb
Lusitano GC
4 : 0 Fabril do Barreiro
09 Feb
Moura AC
0 : 1 Fabril do Barreiro
26 Jan
Lagoa
2 : 0 Fabril do Barreiro
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estrela da Amadora | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 34:12 | 53 |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 33:7 | 49 |
| 3 | Oriental Dragon | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 30:20 | 37 |
| 4 | SC Praiense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 25:23 | 32 |
| 5 | Real SC | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 32:23 | 32 |
| 6 | GD Fontinhas | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 30:26 | 32 |
| 7 | CD Rabo Peixe | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 17:25 | 27 |
| 8 | Sporting Ideal | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 26:34 | 23 |
| 9 | Belenenses B | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 16:26 | 22 |
| 10 | Fabril do Barreiro | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19:31 | 21 |
| 11 | Oriental | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 16:27 | 16 |
| 12 | Montijo | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 19:43 | 16 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)
