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Montijo vs Montehermoso

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
de Luis M.
48' Event
Volo L.
52' Event
Peralta C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 game between Montijo and Montehermoso finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montijo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Montijo
6%
Draws
4%
Montehermoso
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Montijo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Montijo come out ahead of Montehermoso on wins alone.
  • Model gives Montijo a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Montijo Clean Sheet 68%
Montehermoso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montijo Montehermoso
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs Montehermoso
4:0
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montehermoso vs Montijo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montijo Compare

Top Goalscorer Peralta C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader de Luis M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Montehermoso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montijo 95 / 100
Montehermoso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montijo Montehermoso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montehermoso has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Montijo found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Montijo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montijo VS Montehermoso
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Montijo

(Home)
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1
Santa Amalia
02 May
CD Azuaga
4 : 2
Montijo
26 Apr
Montijo
0 : 1
Gevora
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3
Montijo
12 Apr
Montijo
1 : 0
Puebla de la Calzada
Page 1 of 6

Montehermoso

(Away)
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1
Montehermoso
03 May
Montehermoso
0 : 3
Villanovense
26 Apr
Cabeza del Buey
2 : 1
Montehermoso
19 Apr
Montehermoso
2 : 2
AD Llerenense
12 Apr
CD Badajoz
4 : 0
Montehermoso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Don Benito34218570:2271
2CD Badajoz34235664:2771
3Moralo341711654:3262
4CD Azuaga34188853:3162
5Jaraiz341611753:3359
6Cabeza del Buey341512745:2957
7SP Villafranca341671145:4055
8Villanovense341581145:3653
9Montijo341371443:4246
10Jerez CF34817956:5141
11AD Llerenense341181535:4441
12Puebla de la Calzada349111435:4838
13Santa Amalia34971830:5234
14Gevora34891732:5333
15Pueblonuevo34961929:5533
16CD Diocesano346121633:6330
17Montehermoso34582124:6623
18CD Calamonte343131825:4722
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)