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Montlouis vs Avranches

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Chica P.
48' Event
Adeoti J.
65' Event
Boateng C.

AI Match Summary

Avranches in this National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Avranches.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Montlouis
33%
Draws
40%
Avranches
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Avranches

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Montlouis haven't matched Avranches's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Avranches a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41.2%
Montlouis Clean Sheet 13%
Avranches Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montlouis Avranches
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Montlouis vs Avranches
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Avranches vs Montlouis
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montlouis Compare

Top Goalscorer Chica P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Avranches Compare

Top Goalscorer Adeoti J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boateng C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montlouis 27 / 100
Avranches 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montlouis Avranches

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Montlouis scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Avranches let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Montlouis remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montlouis VS Avranches
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Montlouis

(Home)
16 May
Montlouis
2 : 2
Saint-Malo
09 May
Saumur Olympique
0 : 0
Montlouis
02 May
Montlouis
1 : 1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
25 Apr
Bordeaux
4 : 1
Montlouis
18 Apr
Montlouis
1 : 2
Avranches
Page 1 of 6

Avranches

(Away)
25 Jul
Quevilly
1 : 1
Avranches
22 Jul
Laval
2 : 1
Avranches
16 May
Avranches
3 : 3
Bordeaux
09 May
Granville
1 : 1
Avranches
02 May
Les Herbiers
3 : 3
Avranches
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)