Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montlouis vs Bordeaux

France France

National 2 - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Mondesir A.
26' Event
Openda R.
32' Event
Grillot J.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2 - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Montlouis
6%
Draws
90%
Bordeaux
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bordeaux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bordeaux have won more games recently than Montlouis.
  • Model gives Bordeaux a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Montlouis Clean Sheet 10%
Bordeaux Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montlouis Bordeaux
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 20
Draws 10 4
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Bordeaux vs Montlouis
4:1
Dec 13, 2025 National 2 - Group A
Montlouis vs Bordeaux
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montlouis Compare

Top Goalscorer Mondesir A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bordeaux Compare

Top Goalscorer Openda R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shamal S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montlouis 10 / 100
Bordeaux 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montlouis Bordeaux

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montlouis scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Bordeaux let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Montlouis went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montlouis VS Bordeaux
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Montlouis

(Home)
16 May
Montlouis
2 : 2
Saint-Malo
09 May
Saumur Olympique
0 : 0
Montlouis
02 May
Montlouis
1 : 1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
25 Apr
Bordeaux
4 : 1
Montlouis
18 Apr
Montlouis
1 : 2
Avranches
Page 1 of 6

Bordeaux

(Away)
16 May
Avranches
3 : 3
Bordeaux
09 May
Bordeaux
1 : 0
Les Herbiers
02 May
Bayonne
1 : 2
Bordeaux
25 Apr
Bordeaux
4 : 1
Montlouis
18 Apr
Dinan
1 : 3
Bordeaux
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)